2006 Western Europe - Broadband Statistics & Forecasts to 2015

http://www.chinaccm.com 2006-7-21 16:9

Title: 2006 Western Europe - Broadband Statistics & Forecasts to 2015
Published: July 2006
File size: 973K
Number of Pages: 109
Price: Single-User PDF Licence: US$995.00

This report is comprised of 167 statistical tables and covers 19 countries. For those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on this region, this report is essential reading and gives further information on:

The importance of LLU for competition;
Increasing demand for VoD and triple play services;
The implications of rapidly developing ADSL2+ networks;
The changing face of converged media with widespread triple play services becoming a standard feature in homes;
Future plans, strategies and results of home entertainment carried through broadband;
Governments and municipalities investing in optimum fibre networks to bolster their economic welfare;
Shifting mood throughout Europe to make broadband a Universal Service Obligation.

Executive Summary

The substantial growth in broadband in Europe during the last two years has kept several European Union (EU) countries at the top of global league tables, with Iceland, Denmark and The Netherlands having taken over South Korea as leaders in broadband penetration by mid-2006. This growth has been driven by intensifying competition and by regulatory measures to improve competitor access to local loops. The major operators have also offset their eroding voice telephony revenues by investing in IP services, and the progressive development of all-IP networks, notably in the UK, promises further growth in coming years as triple play services bolster saturated markets. The leading broadband markets in early 2006 were Belgium, The Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden, while the UK showed the fastest growth. The main growth driver remains DSL, followed by cable, while fibre has also had an improving footprint in certain markets, notably Scandinavia and Italy. Fibre is likely to take an increasing share of network build as deployment prices fall and governments and municipalities invest in optimum infrastructures to sustain national and local economies. This report presents statistics and analysis on the growth of broadband markets in Europe, together with country forecasts to 2015 based on scenarios assessed on several key factors. It analyses the latest developments in ADSL, cable, and fibre technologies, and examines market conditions, the competitive and regulatory environments, and government policies supporting broadband infrastructure and take-up to the end of the decade and beyond.

Europe's broadband market continued to show remarkable resilience during 2005, reaching 50-60% growth in some countries. The overall broadband growth rate in 2005 was about 15% per quarter. Slower growth was noticeable in some countries where adoption was already high (Belgium and Sweden) though it continued to grow strongly in The Netherlands;

A wide variety of technical solutions is available for accessing broadband. Satellite, Broadband Powerlines (BPL), fibre, dedicated lines and Wireless Local Loop (WLL) accounted for about 14% of new connections in 2005, while WiMAX may have a strong future following the clarifications on technical protocols at the end of the year. The EC is keen to use its regulatory powers to boost these technologies, promoting inter-platform competition, particularly with BPL, which it considers a potential alternative to cable and DSL;

Increasing competition throughout the region has followed the launch of services by a greater number of alternative operators, predominantly due to improvements in interconnection and access market conditions;
Strong growth in the number of Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL) connections were largely due to the focus on broadband by incumbent operators, a trend that is likely to continue through 2006 and 2007 as they make up for falling fixed-line revenue;

Local Loop Unbundling (LLU), carrier preselection (CPS) and Wholesale Line Rental (WLR) are increasing competition in the local loop although in a delayed and piecemeal fashion in many countries. France has proved to be a leader in Europe, following a slow start, while the UK and other countries have strong regulatory backing to expand LLU for competitors;
Fibre optic cable will be the underlying technology to cope with the multiplicity of applications which consumers will demand. Cheaper roll-out prices have made infrastructure commitments more feasible, while municipalities and governments have embraced large-scale networks to promote and secure economic growth;

DSL is likely to remain the dominant platform during the next few years, since it reaches at least twice as many households as cable, and its main backers the incumbent telcos have strong financial and infrastructural resources to exploit their existing footprints. Furthermore, they are able to deliver emerging ADSL technologies, such as Very High Data Rate Digital Subscriber Line (VDSL) and ADSL2+, which were rolled out in several European countries by the beginning of 2006, with many more networks being built during the year. By 2008, ADSL2+ may claim 71% of European broadband connections, dwarfing alternatives;

Key players in the provision of 20Mb/s services include Free (Iliad), Wanadoo and neuf Cegetel in France, as well as Telecom Italia's Alice brand serving Germany, Italy and France. The UK was provisioned with its first 24Mb/s service in early 2006, while Sweden and The Netherlands are leaders in municipal fibre networks;
Consumer demand for high-bandwidth applications - triple play, IPTV, Video-on-Demand, and a range of business and family-based video-sharing tools - will stimulate network roll-outs by incumbents and by new entrants exploiting LLU. Once broadband is released from its PC-based limitations to become the main conduit for home entertainment, broadband penetration will broach the natural 60-65% saturation level and climb towards 85-95% in some markets within ten years, given the right conditions;

The convergence of telecoms and media will further stimulate broadband take-up, as popular programming such as sport events become mainstream. In The Netherlands exclusive TV rights to the Dutch Premier Soccer League are on broadband TV rather than traditional TV, while the BBC is similarly streaming major sports events via broadband. In Italy, Mediaset bought the TV rights to Livorno teamsfootball games for the 2007-2010 seasons covering the ADSL and mobile TV distribution platforms.

Table of Contents

1.        EUROPEAN BROADBAND MARKET

1.1      Overview
1.1.1   Competition the key
1.1.2   Stronger Internet base
1.1.3   European broadband statistics
1.1.4   Broadband delivery
1.1.5   Consumer spend and revenue
1.1.6   Broadband costs
1.1.7   Consumer demand

2.        AUSTRIA

2.1      Overview
2.2      Broadband statistics

2.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
2.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
2.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

3.       BELGIUM

3.1      Overview
3.2      Broadband statistics
3.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
3.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
3.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

4.        DENMARK

4.1      Overview
4.2      Broadband statistics
4.2.1   Market shares

4.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
4.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
4.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

5.         FINLAND

5.1      Overview
5.2      Broadband statistics

5.3       Broadband forecasts to 2015
5.3.1    Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
5.3.2    Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

6.         FRANCE

6.1      Overview
6.1.1   Market share

6.2     Broadband statistics
6.2.1  Market shares

6.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
6.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
6.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

7.        GERMANY

7.1      Overview
7.2      Broadband statistics

7.3       Broadband forecasts to 2015
7.3.1    Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
7.3.2    Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

8.        GREECE

8.1       Overview

8.2       Government support
8.2.1    E-government infrastructure
8.2.2    DIODOS project

8.3       Broadband statistics

8.4       Broadband forecasts to 2015
8.4.1    Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
8.4.2    Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

9.         ICELAND

9.1       Overview

9.2       Iceland's broadband success factors
9.2.1    Demographics
9.2.2    Infrastructure
9.2.3    Government support

9.3       Broadband statistics

9.4       Broadband forecasts to 2015
9.4.1    Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
9.4.2    Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

10.1      Overview
10.2      Delivering access
10.3      Promoting broadband
10.4      Resistance to broadband
10.5      Addressing the problem
10.6      Government networks
10.7      Eircom's structural separation
10.8      Broadband statistics

10.9      Broadband forecasts to 2015
10.9.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
10.9.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

11.        ITALY

11.1     Overview
11.2     Broadband statistics
11.3     Market share

11.4      Broadband forecasts to 2015
11.4.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
11.4.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

12.         LUXEMBOURG

12.1      Overview
12.2      Broadband statistics

12.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
12.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
12.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

13.        MALTA

13.1      Overview
13.2      Broadband statistics

13.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
13.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
13.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

14.        NETHERLANDS

14.1      Overview
14.1.1   Wholesale broadband access
14.1.2   Retail broadband access local loop
14.1.3   Incentives to invest

14.2      Broadband statistics

14.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
14.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
14.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

15.        NORWAY

15.1      Overview

15.2      Broadband statistics
15.2.1   Market shares

15.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
15.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
15.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

16.        PORTUGAL

16.1      Overview
16.2      Broadband statistics

16.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
16.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
16.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

17.        SPAIN

17.1      Overview
17.2      Broadband statistics

17.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
17.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
17.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

18.        SWEDEN

18.1      Overview
18.2      Government support
18.3      ICT policy
18.4      Broadband in regional Sweden
18.5      Competition
18.6      Broadband statistics

18.7      Broadband forecasts to 2015
18.7.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
18.7.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

19.        SWITZERLAND

19.1      Overview
19.2      Broadband statistics

19.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
19.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
19.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

20.        UNITED KINGDOM

20.1      Overview

20.2      Broadband statistics
20.2.1   Market share

20.3      Broadband forecasts to 2015
20.3.1   Scenario 1 stronger broadband subscriber growth
20.3.2   Scenario 2 weaker broadband subscriber growth

Exhibit 1 Overview of major broadband service providers in Iceland

Table 1      Europe overview Broadband lines market share, incumbents and new entrants October 2005
Table 2      Europe overview Broadband lines market share, new entrants 2004 - 2005
Table 3      Europe overview Internet users, growth and penetration March 2006
Table 4      Europe overview PC penetration in Europe 2004
Table 5      Europe overview Broadband access lines and growth 2002 - 2005
Table 6      Europe overview Broadband access growth per 100 inhabitants 2005
Table 7      Europe overview Broadband access lines by type 2005
Table 8      Europe overview Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, by technology 2005
Table 9      Europe overview Growth in broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants 2001 - 2005
Table 10    Europe overview Broadband access growth per DSL and Cable 2004 - 2005
Table 11    Europe overview Non-DSL broadband access 2005
Table 12    Europe overview Non-DSL retail lines by country Oct 2005
Table 13    Europe overview EU DSL/other retail lines by country October 2005
Table 14    Europe overview Broadband online activities 2005
Table 15    Europe overview Comparative European broadband costs 2005
Table 16    Austria Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2005
Table 17    Austria Total broadband subscribers and penetration by access type 2002 - 2005
Table 18    Austria Broadband connections by infrastructure (retail) 2004 - 2005
Table 19    Austria Broadband connections by infrastructure (wholesale) 2004 - 2005
Table 20    Austria Total broadband connections by infrastructure 2004 - 2005
Table 21    Austria Revenue from retail and wholesale broadband connections 2004 - 2005
Table 22    Austria Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 23    Austria Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 24    Belgium Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2006
Table 25    Belgium Broadband subscribers and penetration (cable modem & DSL) 2000 - 2005
Table 26    Belgium Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 27    Belgium Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 28    Denmark Internet users and penetration 1996 - 2005
Table 29    Denmark Internet subscriptions by customer type 2004 - 2005
Table 30    Denmark Market share of Internet subscriptions by type - 2004 - 2005
Table 31    Denmark Internet subscriptions by provider 2004 - 2005
Table 32    Denmark Market share of Internet subscriptions by provider - 2004 - 2005
Table 33    Denmark Broadband subscribers & penetration per cable modem, xDSL & FWA 2001 - 2005
Table 34    Denmark Broadband DSL service provider market shares by operator 2004 - 2005
Table 35    Denmark Broadband cable service provider market shares by operator 2004 - 2005
Table 36    Denmark Broadband subscribers by alternative technologies 2005
Table 37    Denmark Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 38    Denmark Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 39    Finland Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2005
Table 40    Finland Total broadband subscribers per segment and penetration 2000 - 2005
Table 41    Finland Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 42    Finland Non DSL and cable broadband subscribers 2004 - 2006
Table 43    Finland Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 44    Finland Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 45    France Internet users and penetration 1995 - 2006
Table 46    France Narrowband subscribers 1999 - 2004
Table 47    France Unbundled lines 2004 - 2006
Table 48    France Market shares of major cable broadband companies 2004
Table 49    France Dial-up Internet traffic by volume and annual change 2004 - 2005
Table 50    France Total Internet subscribers and annual change 2004 - 2005
Table 51    France Internet revenue by access type (€ million) - 1999 - 2005
Table 52    France Internet revenue by access type and annual change - 2004 - 2005
Table 53    France ARPU by access type and annual change - 2004 - 2005
Table 54    France Total broadband subscribers by type 2000 - 2005
Table 55    France Total broadband subscribers and annual change 2004 - 2005
Table 56    France Total broadband subscribers and share of Internet subscribers 2000 - 2005
Table 57    France Cable broadband market shares 2004
Table 58    France Broadband market share 2005
Table 59    France Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 60    France Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 61    Germany Internet user growth and penetration 1991 - 2006
Table 62    Germany DSL lines in operation: incumbent and competitors 2000 - 2005
Table 63    Germany Broadband subscribers by access type and market penetration 2001 - 2005
Table 64    Germany Broadband subscribers as share of Internet users 2002 - 2005
Table 65    Germany Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 66    Germany Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 67    Greece Total broadband subscribers per segment and penetration 2004 - 2005
Table 68    Greece OTE broadband subscribers 2004 - 2005
Table 69    Greece Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 70    Greece Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 71    Iceland Internet user growth and penetration 1996 - 2005
Table 72    Iceland Total broadband subscribers and penetration 2001 - 2005
Table 73    Iceland Proportion of broadband subscribers by access type 2004 - 2005
Table 74    Iceland Internet access by type 2002 - 2005
Table 75    Iceland Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 76    Iceland Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 77    Ireland Total broadband subscribers and penetration by access type 2002 - 2005
Table 78    Ireland Narrowband subscribers - 2005
Table 79    Ireland Broadband by Internet households 2005
Table 80    Ireland Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 81    Ireland Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 82    Italy Internet user growth and penetration 1991 - 2005
Table 83    Italy Total fixed broadband subscribers and penetration by access type 2002 - 2005
Table 84    Italy Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 85    Italy Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 86    Italy Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 87    Luxembourg Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2005
Table 88    Luxembourg Total broadband subscribers and penetration 2001 - 2005
Table 89    Luxembourg Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 90    Luxembourg Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 91    Malta Dial-up traffic 2004 - 2005
Table 92    Malta Internet users and penetration 2001 - 2005
Table 93    Malta Internet subscribers (Malta NSO) 2001 - 2005
Table 94    Malta Broadband penetration 2002 - 2005
Table 95    Malta Broadband subscribers by access method 2002 - 2005
Table 96    Malta Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 -2010; 2015
Table 97    Malta Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 98    Netherlands Market share of broadband providers 2005
Table 99    Netherlands Total broadband subscribers (cable modem, xDSL, fibre) 1999 - 2005
Table 100  Netherlands Broadband ISPs - subscribers Sept 2005
Table 101  Netherlands Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 102  Netherlands Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 103  Norway Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2005
Table 104  Norway Total broadband subscribers and penetration 1999 - 2005
Table 105  Norway Residential/business broadband subscribers 2002 - 2005
Table 106  Norway Broadband households 2002 - 2005
Table 107  Norway Residential/business broadband turnover 2003 - 2005
Table 108  Norway Telenor Internet and broadband subscribers 2001 - 2005
Table 109  Norway Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 110  Norway Data transmission services, by type and company 2005
Table 111  Norway Telenor turnover market share, transmission capacity 2003 - 2005
Table 112  Norway Operator share of broadband subscribers June 2005
Table 113  Norway Operator share of broadband subscribers 2003 - 2005
Table 114  Norway Telenor broadband subscriber projections 2006 - 2008
Table 115  Norway Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 116  Norway Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 117  Portugal Internet user growth and penetration 1997 - 2005
Table 118  Portugal Internet subscribers by access type 2004 - 2005
Table 119  Portugal Evolution of broadband subscribers and annual change by access type 2004 - 2005
Table 120  Portugal Total broadband subscribers by type and penetration 2000 - 2005
Table 121  Portugal Proportion of broadband subscribers by access type 2004 - 2005
Table 122  Portugal Broadband penetration growth by access type 2004 - 2005
Table 123  Portugal Portugal Telecom share of broadband access 2004 - 2005
Table 124  Portugal Data transmission services 2004 - 2005
Table 125  Portugal Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 126  Portugal Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 127  Spain Internet user growth and penetration 1996 - 2005
Table 128  Spain Total broadband subscribers by access type and penetration 2001 - 2005
Table 129  Spain Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 130  Spain Telefica broadband and dial-up subscribers - 2005 - 2006
Table 131  Spain Telefica wholesale broadband accesses - 2005 - 2006
Table 132  Spain Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 133  Spain Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 134  Sweden TeliaSonera Internet and broadband subscribers 2002 - 2005
Table 135  Sweden Market share of broadband providers 2000 - 2004
Table 136  Sweden Active subscribers by broadband access 2000 - 2004
Table 137  Sweden Internet and data service revenue and annual change end user - 2000 - 2005
Table 138  Sweden Data communications service revenue and annual change end user - 2000 - 2005
Table 139  Sweden Proportion of Internet revenue by access type - 2000 - 2005
Table 140  Sweden Average Internet access monthly revenue and annual change per household 2000 - 2005
Table 141  Sweden Internet user growth and penetration 1996 - 2005
Table 142  Sweden Total Internet subscribers 1995 - 2005
Table 143  Sweden Broadband subscribers by sector 2004 - 2005
Table 144  Sweden Internet subscribers by type and annual change 2004 - 2005
Table 145  Sweden Internet access by type 2000 - 2005
Table 146  Sweden Internet access as proportion of households 1997 - 2005
Table 147  Sweden Leased lines 2003 - 2004
Table 148  Sweden Internet revenue by type and annual change 2004 - 2005
Table 149  Sweden Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 150  Sweden Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 151  Switzerland Internet user growth and penetration 1996 - 2006
Table 152  Switzerland Total broadband subscribers and penetration 2000 - 2005
Table 153  Switzerland Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 154  Switzerland Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 155  Switzerland Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 156  UK Broadband subscribers by operator; BT share2004 - 2005
Table 157  UK Broadband subscribers by operator; BT share2004 - 2005
Table 158  UK broadband market overview 2001 2005
Table 159  UK Broadband penetration by technology 2004 - 2005
Table 160  UK Total broadband subscribers and penetration by type 2000 - 2005
Table 161  UK Internet access by dial-up and broadband 2000 - 2006
Table 162  UK Internet user growth and penetration 1995 - 2006
Table 163  UK Broadband connections by DSL, cable, LLU 2001 - 2004
Table 164  UK Broadband subscribers and market shares by operator 2004 - 2005
Table 165  UK Broadband service provision; share of subscribers 2000 - 2004
Table 166  UK Broadband subscriber growth stronger market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015
Table 167  UK Broadband subscriber growth weaker market growth scenario 2005 - 2010; 2015