Summary
While growth in the fixed-line market has flattened out and in some markets the numbers are declining, activity in this market continues to be overshadowed by frenzied activity in the booming mobile market. Nevertheless fixed infrastructure remains an important component in the overall development of the telecom sector.
As Asia entered 2009 it had close to 2.3 billion telephone services; of these services 575 million were fixed and almost 1.7 billion were mobile services. By end-2009 it was expected that total telephone services would be around 2.7 billion; but the total fixed numbers will contract again and be around 560 million by year end.
The standout market in terms of fixed-line subscribers has been China. Despite declining from 365 million subscribers by end 2007 to an estimated 325 million by end 2009, the country still represents almost 60% of the total regional subscriber base. As shown in the Table below, China is well ahead of the rest of the market in this respect. It is interesting to note that a number of the highly sophisticated telecom markets in Asia are also highly penetrated fixed-line markets; leaders in this regard are Taiwan (62% teledensity), Hong Kong (59%) and South Korea (44%). These are followed by Singapore (40%) and Japan (38%). As Singapore had only around 1.8 million fixed-line subscribers in 2009 it did not qualify to be included in the Table below. Nevertheless it remained a significant fixed-line market with its 40% penetration.
Of the 35 or so countries in Asia, the top 10 that are listed in the Table below claimed about 90% of the region's fixed-line services by 2009.
As with other segments of the telecom market in Asia, we note the ever-present gap between the developed and developing economies of the region. In the developing economies, the building of essential fixed-line infrastructure has been largely ignored in favour of rolling out mobile networks as a quick way of providing telephone services to the population. In developing countries where governments have tried to force the pace of fixed-line roll-outs, the success rate has been mixed. In the Philippines and Indonesia these programs have been conspicuously ineffective; however, in a market like Vietnam, significant progress has been made, lifting that country up to become one of the more highly-penetrated fixed-line markets in the region at 34% teledensity. We have also seen a successful push in Indonesia to expand the fixed network; subscriber growth of 70% occurred in 2008 and was continuing in 2009 on the back of widespread deployment of WLL technology.
The other characteristic of the fixed line markets in Asia as we have already noted is that growth has flattened out and in some markets gone into serious decline. The estimated subscriber base for Asia's top 10 markets at the end of 2009; many of the listed markets are clearly revealing a downward trend as seen in the Table. The two exceptions in this group of countries are Indonesia and Vietnam.
Asia-Top 10 fixed-line markets (ranked by subscribers)-2007-2008
Country | 2007 | 2008 | Penetration | Year on year growth |
Subscribers (million) |
China | 365.6 | 340.8 | 25% | -7% |
Japan | 52.3 | 48.4 | 38% | -7% |
India | 39.4 | 37.9 | 3% | -4% |
Vietnam | 28.5 | 29.6 | 34% | 4% |
South Korea | 22.1 | 21.3 | 44% | -4% |
Indonesia | 17.8 | 30.4 | 13% | 71% |
Taiwan | 14.3 | 14.3 | 62% | 0% |
Pakistan | 4.9 | 4.4 | 3% | -10% |
Malaysia | 4.4 | 4.3 | 16% | -2% |
Philippines1 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 5% | 5% |
Hong Kong1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 59% | 0% |
Total | 557.3 | 539.6 | | -3% |
Note: 1Hong Kong and the Philippines equal 10th in 2008.
Asia-Top 10 fixed-line markets (ranked by subscribers)-2009
Country | Subscribers1 | (million) | Penetration |
China | 325.0 | 25% |
Japan | 42.0 | 33% |
India | 37.0 | 3% |
Vietnam | 30.0 | 34% |
Indonesia | 35.0 | 15% |
South Korea | 22.0 | 45% |
Taiwan | 13.0 | 57% |
Pakistan | 4.4 | 2.5% |
Malaysia | 4.3 | 15% |
Hong Kong | 3.7 | 53% |
Note: 1Estimates.
Apart from the voice services supported by the fixed-line infrastructure in the markets of Asia, the bonus of a healthy and extensive fixed network has been its ability to support DSL-based broadband access. This has seen DSL become the most popular platform for broadband access in Asia. This aspect of the market is addressed more extensively our other publication: Asian Broadband Market.
Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.
Table of Contents
1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
2.1 Country overview
3. Telecommunications market
3.1 Overview of Guinea's telecom market
4. Regulatory environment
4.1 Background
4.2 West African common regulatory framework 2005
4.3 Regulatory authority
4.3.1 DNPT
5. Fixed network operators in Guinea
5.1 Sotelgui
5.1.1 Privatisation
5.1.2 Network infrastructure
5.1.3 Fixed-line statistics
5.1.4 Wireless Local Loop (WLL), CDMA2000 1x
5.1.5 Public payphones
5.1.6 Telecentres
5.2 International infrastructure
5.2.1 New submarine fibre optic cables
6. Internet market
6.1 Overview
6.1.1 Internet statistics
6.2 ISP market
6.2.1 Sotelgui
6.2.2 MiriNet
6.2.3 ETI (Biasy)
6.2.4 Universal Communication, Ristel
7. Broadband market
7.1 Overview
7.2 SchoolWeb WiFi Network
7.3 VoIP Internet telephony
8. Mobile communications
8.1 Overview of Guinea's mobile market
8.1.1 Mobile statistics
8.2 Major mobile operators
8.2.1 MTN Guinea (Areeba)
8.2.2 Sotelgui (Lagui)
8.2.3 Orange Guinea (formerly Spacetel Guinee)
8.2.4 Intercel Guinea (formerly Télécel Guinea)
8.2.5 Cellcom Guinee
8.3 Mobile data services
8.4 Satellite mobile
9. Related reports
Table 1-Country statistics Guinea-2010
Table 2-Fixed-line network statistics-2009
Table 3-Internet user statistics-2009
Table 4-Mobile statistics-2009
Table 5-National telecommunications authority
Table 6-Fixed-lines in service and teledensity-1999-2010
Table 7-Internet users and penetration rate-1999-2010
Table 8-Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration rate-1999-2010
Table 9-Mobile operators, subscribers and annual change-March 2009
Table 10-MTN Guinea monthly ARPU-2006-2009
Exhibit 1-Chart of fixed-line, mobile subscriber and Internet user growth-1999-2010
Exhibit 2-Map of Guinea
Exhibit 3-West African common regulatory framework 2005
Exhibit 4-International submarine fibre optic cables in West Africa-2009-2011
