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China Dairy Market Review & Outlook 2008-2009 2009-3-17 11:34

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February 2009

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China Dairy

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Research Background

There are significant changes in global dairy market in 2008. Due to rising cost and tight supply global dairy price hit a new high in 2007, which greatly influenced dairy policies in many countries, so supply and demand relationship got dramatically changes among those countries, including enhancing domestic production, reducing exports, stimulating dairy supply. In addition, the economic depression has spread around the world, causing decreasing resident income and consumption as well as demand for dairy products. Raw milk and dairy product prices are continuously dropping, including skim and whole milk powder, whey and cheese.

In 2008 china dairy industry should be separated two stages by Melamine Scandal. Before that it still grows at a fast rate and State Stat. Dept. shows that in the first eight months of this year, the yield of liquid and solid milk products are 10,178kt and 2,495kt, up by 12.07% and 7.34% than the same period of last year respectively; after the scandal in both Sept and October they dropped by 18.7%, 32.5% and 15.58%, 32.39% respectively. Resident demand for dairy products is seriously affected and the production of Yili and Mengniu dropped with 90%. Sanlu group is even closed and sold for auction. The whole dairy chain is making great losses after Melamine Scandal and dairy export is also facing unprecedented crisis.

In order to regulate china dairy market, in the first half year of 2008 the Government issued Requirements on Dairy Processing Permits and Dairy Industry Policies in March and May. After the Melamine Scandal, the Government issued Notification on Enhancing and Supervising Dairy Quility Regulation and Proposals on Dairy Industry Resumption in October and November and Food Safety Act will be implemented soon to revise emerged problems related to the scandal. All these show that the Government is enhancing laws and regulations in dairy industry and dairy consumers are paying more attention on quality. Domestic dairy producers are changing strategy to reply new macro-environment. It is a good chance for international dairy enterprises to invest in China.

This report analyzes dairy production, consumption, market price, basic situation of import and export, market competition, relevant hot topics, policy direction and impact, development of main dairy processing and packaging enterprises in China and the development of the international dairy industry in 2007, there is also a forecast for the development trend of the Chinese dairy industry in 2008. This report gives an integrated analysis on the effects of Melamine Scandal.

This report is a joint product of the experts of the Dairy Department, these senior dairy analysts also make advice for relevant departments and associations, and keep a beneficial relationship with major dairy enterprises, relevant industry enterprises, which provide precious information and data for this report, assuring the veracity, authority and forward looking. This is a rare report which shall be of great value for dairy investment companies, producers, material suppliers, equipment suppliers and research institutes both at home and abroad to understand the development trend of the dairy industry, to make decisions on the positioning of the enterprise and to formulate development strategies.

Report Outline

CHAPTER 1 GENERAL TREND OF CHINA'S DAIRY INDUSTRY IN 2008 1
1.1 RAW MILK PRODUCTION 1
1.1.1 Dairy Cattle Inventory Down for First Time since 1998 1
1.1.2 Raw Milk Output Witnessed Negative Growth for First Time since 1998 1
1.2 DAIRY PROCESSING 2
1.2.1 Liquid Milk Output Almost Zero Growth 2
1.2.2 Solid Dairy Output Saw Negative Growth for First Time since 2000 3
1.3 DAIRY TRADE 4
1.3.1 Dairy Import on Conspicuous Upward Slope 4
1.3.2 Ups-and-Downs of Dairy Export 4
1.4 DAIRY CONSUMPTION 5
1.4.1 Per Capita Milk Possession Volume Witnessed Negative Growth for First Time in One Decade 5
1.4.2 Urban Per Capita Dairy Consumption on Slide 6
1.5 PRICE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS 6
1.6 DAIRY INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT 7
1.7 DAIRY INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATION 8
1.8 POLICIES FOR THE DAIRY INDUSTRY 9

CHAPTER 2 ANALYSIS OF THE POLICY ENVIRONMENT FOR CHINA'S DAIRY INDUSTRY IN 2008 12
2.1 RELEVANT POLICIES 12
2.2 MARKET ENTRY CONDITIONS FOR DAIRY INDUSTRY 12
2.2.1 Background of the Policy 12
2.2.2 Main Contents 13
2.2.3 Impact on Domestic Dairy Industry 13
2.3 INDUSTRIAL POLICIES FOR THE DAIRY INDUSTRY 14
2.3.1 Background of the Policy 14
2.3.2 Main Contents 14
2.3.3 Influence on the Development of Dairy Industry 14
2.4 REGULATIONS FOR MANAGEMENT OF SUPERVISION OVER QUALITY AND SAFETY OF DAIRY PRODUCTS, I.E. DECREE NO. 536 OF THE STATE COUNCIL 15
2.4.1 Background Information 15
2.4.2 Main Contents 15
2.4.3 Impact on Dairy Industry 16
2.5 PROGRAM FOR RECTIFICATION AND REVITALIZATION OF DAIRY INDUSTRY 17
2.5.1 Background 17
2.5.2 Main Contents 17
2.5.3 Impact on Dairy Industry 18
2. 6 FORMULATION OF OTHER POLICIES 19
2. 6.1 Regulating Raw Milk Purchase Price 19
2.6.2 Management Methods for Interest Rate Discounted Raw Milk Purchase Loans with Subsidies from Central Government 19
2.6.3 Abolition of Policy on Exemption of Inspection for Famous Brand Products 19
2.6.4 Maximum Limit of Melamine and Regulations on Testing Methods 20
2. 6. 5 Relevant Provisions for Application of Essence in Baby's Formula and Cereal Foods 20

CHAPTER 3 MELAMINE INCIDENT AND ITS IMPACT ON CHINA'S DAIRY INDUSTRY 21
3.1 RECOUNTING THE MELAMINE INCIDENT 21
3.2 IMPACT OF MELAMINE INCIDENT ON RAW MILK PRODUCTION 22
3.2.1 New Trend 23
3.3 IMPACT FROM MELAMINE INCIDENT ON DAIRY ENTERPRISES 24
3.3.1 Negative Impact on Dairy Enterprises 24
3.3.2 Influence on Foreign-Funded Dairy Enterprises 24
3.4 IMPACT FROM MELAMINE INCIDENT ON DAIRY CONSUMPTION 24
3.5 IMPACT ON DAIRY TRADE FROM THE MELAMINE INCIDENT 25
3.5.1 Difficulties for Dairy Export 25
3.5.2 Dairy Import to See Further Expansion 25
3.6 IMPACT FROM MELAMINE INCIDENT ON INDUSTRIAL COMPETITION 26
3.7 IMPACT ON DAIRY POLICIES FROM MELAMINE INCIDENT 26

CHAPTER 4 ANALYSIS OF DAIRY PRODUCTION IN 2008 27
4.1 PRODUCTION OF RAW MILK 27
4.1.1 Overall Trend 27
4.1.2 Dairy Cattle Inventory 27
4.1.3 Raw Milk Output 28
4.1.4 Distribution of Milk Supply Regions 29
4.1.5 Purchase Price of Raw Milk 31
4.2 DAIRY PRODUCTION 34
4.2.1 Liquid Milk 34
4.2.2 Solid Dairy Products 38
4.2.3 Powder Output 43
4.2.4 OUTPUT OF OTHER SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS 46

CHAPTER 5 ANALYSIS OF DAIRY TRADE IN 2008 47
5.1 IMPORT ANALYSIS 47
5.1.1 General Situation Analysis 47
5.1.2 Import Structure 47
5.2 MILK POWDER IMPORT ANALYSIS 48
5.2.1 Import Volume 48
5.2.2 Import Structure 50
5.2.3 Source of Import 51
5.2.4 Destination of Import 52
5.2.4 Importation Price 53
5.3 WHEY IMPORT ANALYSIS 55
5.3.1 Import Volume 55
5.3.2 Origin of Import 56
5.3.3 Destination of Import 57
5.3.4 Importation Price 57
5.4 ANALYSIS OF IMPORT OF MILK FAT 58
5.4.1 Import Volume 58
5.4.2 Origin of Import 59
5.4.3 Importation Price 60
5.5 CHEESE IMPORT ANALYSIS 61
5.5.1 Import Volume 61
5.5.2 Origin of Import 61
5.5.3 Importation Price 62
5.6 ANALYSIS OF IMPORT OF FRESH MILK & CREAM 63
5.6.1 Import Volume 63
5.6.2 Import Origin 63
5.6.3 Importation Price 64
5.7 YOGHURT IMPORT ANALYSIS 65
5.7.1 Quantitative Analysis of Import 65
5.7.2 Origin of Import 65
5.7.3 Analysis of Import Prices 66
5.8 DAIRY EXPORT ANALYSIS 67
5.8.1 Overall Situation 67
5.8.2 Export Structure of Dairy Products 67
5.8.3 Fresh Milk Export 68
5.8.4 Export of Powder 70

CHAPTER 6 ANALYSIS OF DAIRY CONSUMPTION IN 2008 74
6.1 OVERALL DAIRY CONSUMPTION 74
6.2 STRUCTURE OF DAIRY CONSUMPTION OF URBAN RESIDENTS 77
6.3 REGIONAL FEATURES OF URBAN DAIRY CONSUMPTION 79
6.4 RETAIL PRICE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS 84
6.4.1Fresh Milk Price 84
6.4.2 Yoghurt Price 85
6.4.3 Powder Price 85
6.4.4 Lactose Price 87
6.4.5 Price of White Sugar 87
6.4.6 Feed Price 88

CHAPTER 7 ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS OF CHINA'S DAIRY MARKET IN 2008 91
7.1 CHARACTERISTICS OF MARKET COMPETITION 91
7.2 COMPETITIONS OF RAW MILK MARKET 91
7.3 COMPETITION OF POWDER MARKET 92
7.3.1 the Environment of the Powder Market 92
7.3.2 Market Shares of Main Competing Enterprises 92
7.4 COMPETITIONS OF LIQUID MILK MARKET 94
7.4.1 Ordinary Plain Milk 94
7.4.2 7.4.2 Top-End UHT Milk 95
7.4.3 Acid Lactic Drinks 96
7.4.4 Functional Milk 97

CHAPTER 8 ANALYSIS OF MAIN DAIRY ENTERPRISES IN 2008 99
8.1 YILI 100
8.1.1 Business Revenue 100
8.1.2 Market Competitiveness 102
8.1.3 Impacts from Olympic Games and Melamine Incident 103
8.1.4 Prospect of Yili 105
8.2 MENGNIU 106
8.2.1 Business Revenue 106
8.2.2 Market Competitiveness 108
8.2.3 Impacts from Melamine Incident 108
8.2.4 Estimate of Revenue 109
8.3 BRIGHT DAIRY 110
8.3.1 Business Revenue 110
8.3.2 Market Competitiveness 112
8.3.3 Impacts from Melamine Incident 113
8.3.4 Prospect of Bright Dairy 114
8.4 SANLU 114
8.4.1 Impacts from Melamine Incident 114
8.4.2 Merger of Sanlu and Restructuring of Sub Companies 115
8.4.3 Inspiration from Sanlu to Dairy Industry 116
8.5 SANYUAN 117
8.5.1 Business Revenue 117
8.5.2 Market Competitiveness 119
8.5.3 Opportunities and Challenges to Sanyuan from Melamine Incident 120
8.5.4 Prospect of Sanyuan 122
8.6 WANDERSUN 123
8.6.1 Business Revenue 123
8.6.2 Market Competitiveness 124
8.6.3 Opportunity from Melamine Incident 124
8.6.4 Prospect of Wandersun 125
8.7 YINQIAO 125
8.7.1 Analysis of Business Performance 125
8.7.2 Market Competitiveness 126
8.7.3 Impact from Melamine Incident 126
8.7.4 Prospect of Yinqiao 127
8.8 NEW HOPE DAIRY 127
8.8.1 Analysis of Business Performance 127
8.8.2 Market Competitiveness of New Hope Dairy 130
8.8.3 Impacts on New Hope Dairy from Melamine Incident 130
8.8.4 Prospect of New Hope Dairy 130
8.9 NESTLE 131
8.9.1 Business Revenue 131
8.9.2 Impacts from Melamine Incident 132
8.9.3 Prospect of Nestle 132
8.10 DUMEX 133
8.10.1 Business Revenue 133
8.10.2 Impacts from Melamine Incident 133
8.10.3 Prospect of Dumex 133

CHAPTER 9 ANALYSIS OF ENTERPRISES OF PACKAGING MATERIALS FOR DAIRY PRODUCTS IN 2008 135
9.1 TETRA PAK IN CHINA 135
9.1.1 Business Activities 135
9.1.2 PR Activities 136
9.1.3 Tetra Pak and "Anti-Monopoly Law" in China 136
9.2 IMPACTS ON BUSINESS REVENUE FROM MELAMINE INCIDENT 137
9.3 PROSPECT OF TETRA PAK IN CHINA IN 2009 138

CHAPTER 10 ANALYSIS OF DAIRY INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT IN 2008 139
10.1 OVERALL STATUS 139
10.2 OPERATIONAL ABILITY 140

CHAPTER 11 ANALYSIS OF WORLD DAIRY MARKET STATUS IN 2008 141
11.1 WORLD DAIRY MARKET IN 2008 141
11.1.1 Overall Momentum of World Dairy Market 141
11.1.2 Production of Milk and Dairy Products 141
11.1.3 Dairy Trade 142
11.1.4 World Price of Dairy Products 142
11.2 ANALYSIS OF DAIRY MARKET STATUS OF MAIN DAIRY PRODUCING COUNTRIES IN 2008 147
11.2.1 New Zealand 147
11.2.2 Australia 157
11.2.3 USA 162
11.2.4 EU 167
11.2.5 India 176

CHAPTER 12 OUTLOOK OF CHINA'S DAIRY INDUSTRY IN 2009 183
12.1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 183
1.2 RAW MILK PRODUCTION 184
12.2.1 Dairy Cattle Inventory 184
12.2.2 Milk Production 184
12.2.3 Layout of Raw Milk 185
12.3 DAIRY PROCESSING 185
12.3.1 Main Dairy Products 185
12.3.2 Other Dairy Products 186
12.3.3 Marginal Dairy Products 187
12.4 DAIRY TRADE PREDICTIONS 188
12.4.1 Import 188
12.4.2 Export 189
12.5 PREDICTION OF PRICE TREND OF RAW MILK AND DAIRY PRODUCTS 189
12.5.1 Raw Milk Price 189
12.5.2 Price Level of Dairy Products 190
12.6 FORECAST OF DAIRY CONSUMPTION 191
12.7 PREDICTION OF THE PATTERN OF COMPETITION OF DAIRY PRODUCTS 191

ANNEX 193
ANNEX I: BALANCE SHEET OF RAW MILK OF CHINA, 2007-2009 193
ANNEX II: BALANCE SHEET OF WHOLE MILK POWDER OF CHINA, 2007-2009 193

Figures & Tables
FIGURE 1-1 DAIRY CATTLE INVENTORY GROWTH TREND, 1997-2008
FIGURE 1-2 OVERALL GROWTH OF MILK OUTPUT, 1997-2008
FIGURE 1-3 CHINA LIQUID PRODUCTION TREND, 2000-2008
FIGURE 1-4 TREND OF THE OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS IN CHINA, 2000-2008
FIGURE 1-5 CHINA DAIRY PRODUCTS IMPORTATION TREND, BY MONTH, 2004-2008
TABLE 1-1 CHINA DAIRY PRODUCT EXPORTS, 2006-2008
FIGURE 1-6 GROWTH TREND OF PER CAPITA MILK POSSESSION VOLUME, 1992-2008
FIGURE 1-7 TREND OF URBAN PER CAPITA DAIRY CONSUMPTION, 1992-2008
TABLE 1-2 AVERAGE QUARTERLY URBAN RETAIL PRICE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS IN CHINA, 2005-2008
TABLE 1-3 INCREASE IN AVERAGE RETAIL PRICE IN URBAN MARKET, BY QUARTER, 2007-2008
TABLE1-4 CHINA DAIRY INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC INDEX, 2002-2008
FIGURE 4-1 DAIRY CATTLE INVENTORY GROWTH, 1997-2008
TABLE 4-1 TOTAL OUTPUT OF RAW MILK AND COW MILK AND GROWTH, 1996-2008
FIGURE 4-2 CHANGES OF DAIRY CATTLE INVENTORY OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2008
FIGURE 4-3 STATUS OF MAIN DAIRY FARMING PROVINCES IN THE NATION, 2008
FIGURE 4-4 MILK OUTPUT OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2008
FIGURE 4-5 STATUS OF MILK OUTPUT MAIN PRODUCING PROVINCES IN CHINA, 2008
FIGURE 4-6 CHANGES OF RAW MILK PURCHASE PRICES ACROSS PROVINCES, 2006-2008
TABLE 4-2 RAW MILK PRICE IN MAIN PRODUCING REGIONS, 2006-2008
FIGURE 4-7 LIQUID MILK OUTPUT AND ITS TREND, 2000-2008
FIGURE 4-8 LIQUID MILK OUTPUT AND ITS TREND, BY MONTH, 2000-2008
FIGURE 4-9 SHARE OF LIQUID MILK OUTPUT OF MAIN PRODUCING PROVINCES IN CHINA, 2008
FIGURE 4-10 COMPARISON OF LIQUID MILK OUTPUT OF PROVINCES, 2008
FIGURE 4-11 LIQUID MILK COMPOSITION, 2000-2008
FIGURE 4-12 UHT MILK OUTPUT AND GROWTH RATE, 2001-2008
FIGURE 4-13 PASTEURIZED MILK OUTPUT AND GROWTH RATE, 2001-2008
FIGURE 4-14 YOGHURT OUTPUT AND GROWTH RATE, 2001-2008
FIGURE 4-15 TREND OF THE OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS, 1997-2008
FIGURE 4-16 TREND OF THE OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS BY MONTH, 2006-2008
FIGURE 4-18 OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS BY REGION IN CHINA, 1998-2007
FIGURE 4-19 OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS OF MAJOR PROVINCES, 2003-2008
FIGURE 4-20 TREND OF OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS BY KEY PROVINCES AS A PROPORTION OF THE NATIONAL TOTAL, 2003-2008
FIGURE 4-21 OUTPUT OF SOLID DAIRY PRODUCTS BY KEY PROVINCES AS A PROPORTION OF THE NATIONAL TOTAL, 2008
FIGURE 4-22 TREND OF POWDER PRODUCTION, 1991-2008
FIGURE 4-23 TREND OF WMP PRODUCTION, 1999-2008
FIGURE 4-24 TREND OF SMP PRODUCTION, 1999-2008
FIGURE 4-25 POWDER OUTPUT STRUCTURE (UNIT: 000 TONS), 2008
TABLE 5-1CHINA DAIRY PRODUCT IMPORTS, 2006-2008
TABLE 5-2 CHANGE OF IMPORT STRUCTURE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS, BY QUANTITY, 2007-2008
FIGURE 5-1 TREND OF MONTHLY IMPORT OF SMP, 2005-2008
FIGURE 5-2 TREND OF IMPORT OF LIGHT WHOLE POWDER, BY MONTH, 2005-2008
FIGURE 5-3 TREND OF IMPORT OF WMP (SUGAR- ADDED) BY MONTH, 2005-2008
FIGURE 5-4 CHANGES OF STRUCTURE OF POWDER IMPORT (QUANTITY), 2003-2008
TABLE 5-3 ORIGIN OF POWDER IMPORT AND CHANGES, BY QUANTITY, 2007-2008
FIGURE 5-5 DESTINATION OF IMPORTED SKIMMED POWDER (QUANTITY), 2008
FIGURE 5-6 DESTINATION OF IMPORTED LIGHT WHOLE POWDER (QUANTITY), 2008
FIGURE 5-7 DESTINATION OF IMPORTED SWEET WHOLE POWDER (QUANTITY), 2008
FIGURE 5-8 CIF PRICE OF SKIMMED POWDER TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2003-2008
FIGURE 5-9 CIF PRICE OF LIGHT WHOLE POWDER TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2003-2008
TABLE 5-4 CHANGES OF INTERNET AUCTION PRICE OF WMP OF FONTERRA, 2008-2009
FIGURE 5-10 TREND OF WHEY IMPORT, BY MONTH, 2003-2008
TABLE 5-5 CHANGES OF IMPORT ORIGIN OF WHEY AND SHARE IN TOTAL IMPORT, 2007-2008
TABLE 5-6 DESTINATION OF IMPORTED WHEY (IMPORT VOLUME), 2007-2008
FIGURE 5-11 CIF PRICE OF WHEY TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2003-2008
FIGURE 5-12 TREND OF IMPORT OF BUTTER AND ANHYDROUS BUTTER OIL (QUANTITY), BY MONTH, 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-13 CHANGES OF ORIGIN OF MILK FAT IMPORT, 2003-2008
FIGURE 5-14 CIF PRICE OF BUTTER AND ANHYDROUS BUTTER OIL TO CHINA, 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-15 TREND OF CHEESE IMPORT, BY QUANTITY, 2004-2008
TABLE 5-16 ORIGIN OF CHEESE IMPORT, 2008
FIGURE 5-16 TREND OF CIF PRICE OF CHEESE TO CHINA, 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-17 TREND OF IMPORT OF FRESH MILK & CREAM, BY QUANTITY, 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-18 MAIN SUPPLIERS OF FRESH MILK & CREAM TO CHINA, 2008
FIGURE 5-19 TREND OF CIF PRICE OF FRESH DAIRY PRODUCTS TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-20 TREND OF YOGHURT IMPORT (QUANTITY), 2004-2008
FIGURE 5-21 ORIGIN OF YOGHURT IMPORT,2008
FIGURE 5-22 TREND OF CIF PRICE OF YOGURT TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2004-2008
TABLE 5-7 CHINA DAIRY PRODUCTS EXPORT, 2008
FIGURE 5-23 STRUCTURE OF DAIRY EXPORT (QUANTITY), JANUARY TO OCTOBER, 2008
FIGURE 5-24 TREND OF EXPORT OF FRESH DAIRY PRODUCTS, BY MONTH, 2007-2008
TABLE 5-8 COMPARISON OF IMPORT AND EXPORT PRICES FOR FRESH MILK, 2007-2008
FIGURE 5-25 TREND OF EXPORT OF POWDER, BY MONTH, 2007-2008
TABLE 5-9 DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EXPORTATION AND IMPORTATION PRICES OF POWDER, 2007-2008
TABLE 5-10 DESTINATIONS OF LIGHT WHOLE POWDER FROM CHINA,2008
TABLE 6-1 PERCAPITA DAIRY POSSESSION VOLUME OF CHINESE RESIDENTS AND FORECAST, 1992-2008
TABLE 6-2 PER CAPITA DAIRY CONSUMPTION VOLUME OF URBAN RESIDENTS, 1992-2008
TABLE 6-3 QUARTERLY CHANGES OF PER CAPITA DAIRY CONSUMPTION OF URBAN RESIDENTS, 2006-2008
FIGURE 6-1 PER CAPITA MILK AND DAIRY CONSUMPTION OF RURAL RESIDENT, 1992-2008
FIGURE 6-2 QUARTERLY STRUCTURE OF DAIRY CONSUMPTION OF URBAN RESIDENTS,BY VOLUME, 2005-2008
FIGURE 6-3 QUARTERLY STRUCTURE OF DAIRY CONSUMPTION OF URBAN RESIDENT, BY VALUE, 2005-2008
TABLE 6-4 CHANGES OF PER CAPITA DAIRY CONSUMPTION (TOTAL) OF URBAN RESIDENTS OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2006-2008
TABLE 6-5 CHANGES OF PER CAPITA FRESH MILK CONSUMPTION (TOTAL) OF URBAN RESIDENTS OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2006-2008
TABLE 6-6 CHANGES OF PER CAPITA YOGURT CONSUMPTION (TOTAL) OF URBAN RESIDENTS OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2006-2008
TABLE 6-7 CHANGES OF PER CAPITA POWDER CONSUMPTION (TOTAL) OF URBAN RESIDENTS OF DIFFERENT PROVINCES, 2006-2008
TABLE 6-8 QUARTERLY AVERAGE RETAIL PRICE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS OF URBAN MARKETS, 2005-2008
TABLE 6-9 QUARTERLY GROWTH OF AVERAGE RETAIL PRICE OF DAIRY PRODUCTS OF URBAN MARKET, 2007-2008
FIGURE 6-4 CIF PRICE OF LACTOSE TO CHINA, BY MONTH, 2005-2008
FIGURE 6-5 SPOT PRICE OF WHITE SUGAR IN PRODUCING AND CONSUMING REGIONS, BY MONTH, 1998-2008
FIGURE 6-6 TREND OF AVERAGE SPOT PRICE OF CORN OF VARIOUS PLACES, 2006-2008
FIGURE 6-7 TREND OF MONTHLY AVERAGE SPOT PRICE OF SOYMEAL OF VARIOUS PLACES, 2006-2008
FIGURE 6-8 TREND OF MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICE OF WHEAT BRAN OF VARIOUS PLACES, 2006-2008
FIGURE 7-1 MARKET SHARES FOR MAIN PRODUCERS OF POWDER IN CHINA, BY VOLUME, 2008
FIGURE 7-2 CHANGES OF MARKET SHARE OF ORDINARY PLAIN MILK, WEEK 1 - 39, 2008
FIGURE 7-3 CHANGES OF MARKET SHARES OF TOP-GRADE UHT MILK BRANDS, WEEK 1-39 OF 2008
FIGURE 7-4 CHANGES OF MARKET SHARE OF ACID LACTIC DRINKS BRANDS, WEEK 1-39, 2008
FIGURE 7-5 CHANGES OF MARKET SHARE OF BRANDS OF FUNCTIONAL MILK, WEEK 1-39, 2008
TABLE 8-1 OPERATION OF YILI, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-2 OPERATION OF YILI, THIRD QUARTER OF 2008
TABLE 8-3 YILI REVENUE, FOR THE FIRST THREE QUARTERS IN 2008
TABLE 8-4 INVESTED PROJECTS OF YILI FROM RAISED FUND, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-5 INVESTED PROJECTS OF YILI FROM NON-RAISED FUND, 1ST HALF OF 2008
FIGURE 8-1 MONTHLY STOCK PRICE OF YILI, 2007-2008
TABLE 8-6 FORCAST ON OPERATION OF YILI, 2008
TABLE 8-7 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF MENGNIU, FIRST HALF OF 2008
FIGURE 8-2 PRODUCT COMPOSITION OF MENGNIU, BY SALES VALUE, 1ST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-8 ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY OF MENGNIU, FIRST HALF OF 2008
FIGURE 8-3 TREND OF MENGNIU STOCK PRICE, 2007-2008
TABLE 8-9 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF BRIGHT, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-10 ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY OF BRIGHT, 3RD QUARTER OF 2008
TABLE 8-11 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF BRIGHT, FIRST THREE QUARTERS OF 2008
FIGURE 8-5 MONTHLY TREND OF STOCK PRICE OF BRIGHT DAIRY, 2007-2008
TABLE 8-12 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF DAIRY SECTOR OF SANYUAN, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-13 GROWTH OF REVENUE OF DAIRY SECTOR FROM DIFFERENT REGIONS OF SANYUAN, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-14 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF DAIRY SECTOR OF SANYUAN, THIRD QUARTER OF 2008
TABLE 8-15 OPERATIONAL STATUS OF DAIRY SECTOR OF SANYUAN, FIRST THREE QUARTERS OF 2008
FIGURE 8-6 MONTHLY TREND OF STOCK PRICE OF SANYUAN, 2007-2008
TABLE 8-16 PRODUCTION OF DAIRY PRODUCTS OF WANDERSUN, 2008
TABLE 8-17 PRODUCTION OF DAIRY PRODUCTS OF YINQIAO, 2007-2008
TABLE 8-18 REVENUE OF CORE SECTOR OF NEW HOPE, FIRST HALF OF 2008
TABLE 8-19 REVENUE OF DAIRY SECTOR OF NEW HOPE, THIRD QUARTER OF 2008
TABLE 8-20 REVENUE OF DAIRY SECTOR OF NEW HOPE, FIRST THREE QUARTERS OF 2008
TABLE 9-1 INDICATORS OF DAIRY INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT, 2002-2008
TABLE 9-2 ASSET MANAGEMENT RATIO OF DAIRY INDUSTRY, 2002-2008
FIGURE 11-1 MONTHLY AVERAGE DAIRY PRICE (FOB) OF NEW ZEALAND (NZ$/KG), MAY 2006 - JULY 2008
TABLE 11-1 TREND OF DAIRY CATTLE INVENTORY OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2001-2008
2001-2007 TABLE 10-2 TREND OF COW MILK PRODUCTION OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2001-2008
FIGURE 11-1 PROPORTION OF LIQUID MILK CONSUMPTION IN MILK PRODUCTION OF MAIN COUNTRIES AND REGIONS, 2008
TABLE 11-3 PRODUCTION AND TRADE OF WHOLE POWDER OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2007-2008
TABLE 11-4 PRODUCTION AND TRADE OF SKIMMED POWDER OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2007-2008
TABLE 11-5 PRODUCTION AND TRADE OF BUTTER AND GHEE OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2007-2008
TABLE 11-6 PRODUCTION AND TRADE OF CHEESE OF MAIN COUNTRIES, 2007-2008
TABLE 11-7 BALANCE SHEET OF RAW MILK OF NEW ZEALAND, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-8 BALANCE SHEET OF BUTTER OF NEW ZEALAND, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-9 EXPORT OF BUTTER FROM NEW ZEALAND (HS040510), BY COUNTRY, 2005-2008
TABLE 11-10 EXPORT OF ANHYDROUS BUTTER OIL FROM NEW ZEALAND (AMF) (HS040590), BY COUNTRY, 2005-2008
TABLE 11-11 BALANCE SHEET OF BUTTER OF NEW ZEALAND, 2007-2009
FIGURE 11-2 TREND OF CHEESE EXPORTS FROM NEW ZEALAND (TONS), 1992-2008
TABLE 11-12 EXPORT OF CHEESE AND CURD FROM NEW ZEALAND (HS0406), BY COUNTRY, 2005-2008 MARKET YEAR
TABLE 11-13 BALANCE SHEET OF SKIMMED MILK POWDER OF NEW ZEALAND, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-14 EXPORT OF SKIMMED POWDER (HS040210) FROM NEW ZEALAND, BY COUNTRY, 2005-2008
TABLE 11-15 BALANCE SHEET OF WHOLE POWDER OF NEW ZEALAND, 2007-2009
FIGURE 11-3 WMP & NFDM EXPORTS OF NEW ZEALAND, 1992-2008
TABLE 11-16 EXPORT OF WHOLE POWDER FROM NEW ZEALAND (HS040221), BY COUNTRY, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-5 TREND OF DAIRY PRICE (US$/TON) OF NEW ZEALAND, 1994-2008
FIGURE 11-6 MONTHLY AVERAGE DAIRY PRICE (FOB) (NZ$/KG) OF NEW ZEALAND, MAY 2006-JULY 2008
TABLE 11-17 BALANCE SHEET OF RAW MILK OF AUSTRALIA, 2007-2009
TABLE 10-18 BALANCE SHEET OF BUTTER OF AUSTRALIA, 2007-2009
FIGURE 11-7 TREND OF PRODUCTION AND EXPORT OF CHEESE BY AUSTRALIA, 98/99-07/08
TABLE 11-18 BALANCE SHEET OF CHEESE OF AUSTRALIA, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-19 BALANCE SHEET OF SKIMMED MILK POWDER OF AUSTRALIA, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-20 BALANCE SHEET OF WHOLE MILK POWDER OF AUSTRALIA, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-21 DAIRY CATTLE INVENTORY AND MILK PRODUCTION IN USA, 2007-2008
FIGURE 11-8 MONTHLY CHEESE PRODUCTION OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-9 CHEDDAR PRICE TREND OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-10 MONTHLY OUTPUT OF WHEY OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-11 MONTHLY TREND OF WHEY PRICE IN USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-12 MONTHLY OUTPUT OF SKIMMED POWDER (HUMAN) OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-13 PRICE TREND OF SKIMMED POWDER (HUMAN) OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-14 MONTHLY BUTTER PRODUCTION OF USA, 2005-2007
FIGURE 11-15 MONTHLY BUTTER PRICE OF USA, 2005-2008
FIGURE 11-16 EU INCOME OF MANUFACTURING OF CHEESE/WHEY POWDER, SMP/BUTTER AND WMP/BUTTER (IN EUR)
TABLE 11-22 BALANCE SHEET OF RAW MILK OF EU 27 COUNTRIES, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-23 BALANCE SHEET OF BUTTER FOR EU 27, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-24 BALANCE SHEET OF CHEESE OF EU 27, 2006-2008
TABLE 11-25 BALANCE SHEET OF WHOLE MILK POWDER OF EU 27, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-26 BALANCE SHEET OF SKIMMED POWDER FOR 27 MEMBERS OF THE EU, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-27 BALANCE SHEET OF RAW MILK IN INDIA, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-28 BALANCE SHEET OF INDIAN SKIMMED POWDER, 2007-2009
TABLE 11-29 BALANCE SHEET OF BUTTER IN INDIA, 2007-2009
FIGURE 11-17 INDIA DAIRY EXPORTS: MY 2007/08 (MTONS)
FIGURE 11-18 INDIAN EXPORT MARKET FOR DAIRY PRODUCTS (2006/07)