Booming Russian Automobile Sector

http://www.chinaccm.com 2007-9-27 12:4

Published:            September 2007
Price (USD):         $1,400 /single user PDF licence
                                $1,800 /hard copy

Report Summary

"Booming Russian Automobile Sector" report has been made to give an overview of global automobile industry keeping Russian automobile industry at its core.  The report presents the current picture of the global automobile industry as well as evaluates the region-wise production and sales of the industry.  However, the report has its focus on the Russian automobile industry.  The Russian industry has been defined in detail covering its current landscape and future outlook (like car penetration, new passenger car registration, and passenger car sales for the period 2007-2010).  It also helps the clients to analyze the leading-edge opportunities and the driving factors that are critical for the success of Russian automobile industry.  The future growth of passenger car segment is further fragmented in foreign branded and Russian passenger car.  However, the forecast of different segment are not based on an intricate economic model but has been done by correlating its past and present performance.  The above-mentioned tools would help the potential investors to plot a route through the evolving market of Russian automobiles.

Market Analysis

The ongoing economic development in many parts of the world is spurring fast growth in global automobile industry.  In the year 2006, the worldwide automobile production increased by around 4% from the previous growth of 3.1% in 2005.  Region-wise, Europe was next only to Asia-Oceania in terms of automobile production in 2006.

In 2006, Russia became the fifth largest passenger car selling country in Europe.  The Russian automobile industry represents the Russian manufacturing sector condition and ripeness of a modern purchaser.  Russian automobile sector emerged as the one of the most dynamically growing in the world.  Increasing customer awareness and shooting demand for international quality and performance out of local-made products has changed the former structure of Russian automobile industry and now more manufacturers are focused on foreign branded automobile production.  As for future, Russia's entry to the World Trade Organization in 2007 will have a significant impact on the market and foreign players will be benefited from it.

Research Highlights

-  Increasing disposable income of Russian population has made the consumers to go for higher segment cars in Russia.
-  Russian tourism industry is also escalating the demand for cars.
-  Low car penetration rate in Russia indicates a huge market is still untapped for passenger segment.
-  More awareness and rising demand for more features and technology is paving the path for the foreign players, but it is also increasing the competition for domestic players.
-  Automobile industry is going to create a huge make for industries like steel, plastic, and motor insurance in Russia.
-  With the rising environmental concerns, the demand for hybrid cars will pick up momentum in the country.

Key Findings

-  In passenger car segment, foreign branded passenger cars are expected to register a higher growth rate than the overall segment during 2007-2010.
-  Russia's entry to the World Trade Organization in 2007 will reduce the Russian branded passenger car market share and it will further decline during the forecasted period.
-  Car stock per 1000 population is expected to increase with an AAGR of 5.6% during the forecasted period.
-  New passenger car registration is expected to increase at an AAGR of 6.52% from 2007 to 2010 in Russia.
-  High scope of Natural Gas Vehicles and Hybrid vehicles in Russia.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

-  Automobile production at global level as well as at regional level for 2006.
-  Global and region-wise automobile sales during 2005 and 2006.
-  Sales of passenger cars in different regions during 2005.
-  Automobile production by domestic and foreign manufacturers by types.
-  Import of new and second hand foreign branded cars.
-  Top selling foreign brands in the country in 2006.
-  Sale of passenger car by price segment in 2006.
-  Driving factors for the Russian automobile industry.
-  Opportunities and constraints for the automobile manufacturers.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources:  The information has been compiled from authentic and reliable sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method:  Methods like historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis have been used in the report for a prudent analysis.

Report Outline

Chapter 1    Analyst View

Chapter 2    Global Automobile Industry

2.1    Production
    2.1.1  By Region
    2.1.2  By Type
2.2    Sales
    2.2.1  By Region

Chapter 3    Russian Automobile Market in Global Context

Chapter 4    Industry Performance

4.1    Production
    4.1.1  Passenger Cars
    4.1.2  Commercial Vehicles
    4.1.3  Tractive Units
    4.1.4  Buses
4.2    Sales
    4.2.1  Passenger Cars
        4.2.1.1  New Passenger Cars
    4.2.2  Top Selling Foreign Branded Passenger Cars
    4.2.3  Passenger Cars - By Price Segment
4.3    Import
    4.3.1  New Foreign Passenger Cars
    4.3.2  Used Foreign Passenger Cars
4.4    Export

Chapter 5    Industry Analysis

5.1    Driving Forces
    5.1.1  Auto Finance Industry
    5.1.2  Personal Disposable Income
    5.1.3  Employment
    5.1.4  Rich Population
    5.1.5  Economic Growth
    5.1.6  Tourism Industry
    5.1.7  Fuel Prices
    5.1.8  Lending Interest Rate
5.2    Opportunities
    5.2.1  Passenger Cars
    5.2.2  Motor Insurance
    5.2.3  Plastic Industry
    5.2.4  Expensive Cars
    5.2.5  Steel Industry
    5.2.6  Gasoline Retail Market
    5.2.7  Natural Gas Vehicles
    5.2.8  Hybrid Vehicles
5.3    Challenges
    5.3.1  Assembly Facilities
    5.3.2  Shrinking Market Share
    5.3.3  Supply Chain

Chapter 6    Future Outlook, 2007-2010

6.1    Passenger Cars Forecast
    6.1.1  Foreign Branded Passenger Cars Forecast
    6.1.2  Russian Branded Passenger Cars Forecast
    6.1.3  Passenger Cars Registration Forecast
    6.1.4  Commercial Vehicles Forecast

Chapter 7    Key Players

7.1    AVTOVAZ OAO
7.2    GAZ OAO
7.3    General Motors
7.4    Renault
7.5    Hyundai Motor Company
7.6    Kia Motors Corporation
7.7    Zavod im. I.A.Likhachova OAO
7.8    Ul'ianovskii avtomob. zavod OAO
7.9    Izhevskii mashzavod OAO
7.10    KAMAZ OAO

Figures

Figure 2-1:  Global - Automobile Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006
Figure 2-2:  Global - Automobile Production Share by Region (%), 2006
Figure 2-3:  Global - Passenger Cars Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006
Figure 2-4:  Global - Light Commercial Vehicles Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006
Figure 2-5:  Global - Heavy Trucks Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006
Figure 2-6:  Global - Buses & Coaches Production (in '000 Units), 2000-2006
Figure 2-7:  Global - Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
Figure 2-8:  Global - Automobile Sales by Major Region (in Million Units), 2006
Figure 2-9:  Global - Passenger Car Sales by Region (in Million Units), 2005
Figure 4-1:  Russia - Passenger Cars Production (in ’000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-2:  Russia - Russian Branded Passenger Cars Production (in ’000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-3:  Russia - Foreign Branded Passenger Cars Production (in ’000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-4:  Russia - Commercial Vehicles Production* (in ’000 Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-5:  Russia - Commercial Vehicles Production by Carrying Capacity (%), 2006
Figure 4-6:  Russia - Russian Branded Commercial Vehicles Production (in ‘000 Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-7:  Russia - Foreign Branded Commercial Vehicles Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-8:  Russia - Russian Branded LCV Production (in ‘000 Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-9:  Russia - Foreign Branded LCV Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-10:  Russia - Russian Branded MCV Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-11:  Russia - Foreign Branded MCV Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-12:  Russia - Russian Branded HCV Production (in ‘000 Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-13:  Russia - Foreign Branded HCV Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-14:  Russia - Russian Branded Tractive Units Production* (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-15:  Russia - Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-16:  Russia - Bus Production by Type (%), 2006
Figure 4-17:  Russia - Russian Branded Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-18:  Russia - Foreign Branded Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-19:  Russia - Russian Branded Mini Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-20:  Russia - Foreign Branded Mini Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-21:  Russia - Russian Branded City Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-22:  Russia - Foreign Branded City Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-23:  Russia - Russian Branded Intercity Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-24:  Russia - Russian Branded Suburban Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-25:  Russia - Russian Branded Tourist Bus Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-26:  Russia - Passenger Cars Sale (in ’000 Units), 2004-2006
Figure 4-27:  Russia - New Passenger Cars Sale (in '000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-28:  Russia - Passenger Cars Sale by Price Segment (%), 2004-2006
Figure 4-29:  Russia - Passenger Cars Import (in '000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-30:  Russia - New Foreign Passenger Cars Import (in ‘000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-31:  Russia - Used Foreign Passenger Cars Import (in ‘000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 4-32:  Russia - Automobile Export (in '000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 5-1:  Russia - Personal Disposable Income (in US$/Head), 2001-2006E
Figure 5-2:  Russia - Unemployment (%), Feb 2006 & Nov 2006
Figure 5-3:  Russia - Number of High Earning Households (in ‘000), 2000-2006
Figure 5-4:  Russia - Nominal GDP (in Billion US$), 2001-2006
Figure 5-5:  Russian Federation - Retail Fuel Price Comparison with Major Countries (in US Cents/Liter), 2006*
Figure 5-6:  Russia - Gas Price Comparison with Major European Countries (in US$/’000 Cubic Meter), 2006
Figure 5-7:  Russia - Lending Interest Rate (%), 2000-2006
Figure 5-8:  Russia - Forecast for Passenger Cars Stock (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
Figure 5-9:  Russia - Motor TPL Insurance (in Billion RUR), 2004 & 2005
Figure 5-10:  Russia - Crude Steel Production (in '000 Metric Tons), 2004-2006
Figure 5-11:  Russia - Steel Consumption by Industry (%), 2005
Figure 6-1:  Russia - Forecast for Passenger Cars Sale (in '000 Units), 2007-2010
Figure 6-2:  Russia - Forecast for Number of High Earning Households (in Million), 2007-2011
Figure 6-3:  Russia - Forecast for Foreign Branded Passenger Cars Sale (in '000 Units), 2007-2010
Figure 6-4:  Russia - Forecast for Russian Branded Passenger Cars Sale (in '000 Units), 2007-2010
Figure 6-5:  Russia - Forecast for Passenger Cars Registration (in '000 Units), 2007-2010
Figure 6-6:  Russia - Forecast for Commercial Vehicles Production (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010

Tables

Table 2-1:  Global - Top 13 Passenger Cars Manufacturer by Production (in Units), 2005
Table 4-1:  Russia - Russian Branded Passenger Cars Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Table 4-2:  Russia - Foreign Branded Passenger Cars Production (in Units), 2004-2006
Table 4-3:  Russia - Top Selling Foreign Branded Cars (in Units), 2005 & 2006
Table 5-1:  Russia - Passenger Cars Sale by Cash & Credit (%), 2000, 2005E & 2006E
Table 7-1:  AVTOVAZ OAO - Key Financials (in '000 RUB), 2002-2004
Table 7-2:  GAZ OAO - Key Financials (in '000 RUB), 2003-2005
Table 7-3:  General Motors - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006
Table 7-4:  Renault - Key Financials (in Million EUR), 2004-2006
Table 7-5:  Hyundai Motor Company - Key Financials (in '000 US$), 2005 & 2006
Table 7-6:  Kia Motors Corporation - Key Financials (in Million KRW), 2005 & 2006
Table 7-7:  KAMAZ OAO - Key Financials (in ‘000 US$), Mar 2006