Report Summary
The report "2007-2010 Vietnam Automobile Industry Forecast" highlights the present scenario of Vietnam automobile in context of the South-East Asia automobile industry. The Vietnam automobile industry's production, sales, and import statistics have been covered to figure out the past and future trends, supplemented with forecasting of overall automobiles sales by segment, where motorcycle segment is taken separately due to its large size. The report has rationally analyzed the key driving factors, opportunities, and challenges for the Vietnam automobile industry.
Vietnam Automobile Industry
Worldwide automobile industry is growing at a rapid pace as many countries are going through the phase of economic development. And the same scenario is applicable for Vietnam too in South-East Asia.
Vietnam automobile industry was loosing track till 2005 but it recovered in the year 2006 and posted a good growth rate in South-East Asian countries. Changing lifestyle and rising spending in automobile-related parts in Vietnam has propelled the growth of automobile industry in the country. Apart from that, Vietnam's entry to WTO has made the conditions favorable for foreign manufactures as the Vietnamese government has reduced the auto-component import tax in 2006. Though Vietnam was more of a motorcycle-oriented country in past years, its passenger car segment witnessed a good growth after Vietnam joined WTO. Rising income and flexible bank loan structure has incited the growth in passenger car segment.
Increased disposable income has increased the purchasing power of Vietnamese and flexible car loan is considered to be a good supporter of passenger car sales in future (2007-2010). Till 2006, spending on buses, coaches, and taxis had increased and it is showing high demand for road transportation. In this scenario, cost effective and low cost passenger cars may see a healthy future ahead.
Key Findings
- Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs) will grow at a faster rate than Multi Utility Vehicles (MUVs) in terms of sales during the forecasted period (2007-2010). However, passenger car sales will lead the fleet through 2010.
- Motorcycles in Vietnam dominate the overall mode of travel, but due to decreasing number of young people, growth rate of motorcycle sales is likely to decline during 2015 to 2020.
- Number of motorcycles in urban Vietnam will see a declination during 2015-2020, whereas rural areas will witness a growth in number of motorcycles during 2010-2020.
- Biofuel vehicles are likely to see a good opportunity with the rising concern of environment in Vietnam.
Key Issues & Facts
- What was the automobile sales trend in past in Vietnam automobile industry and how will the industry march ahead in future?
- Which factors are thrusting the Vietnam automobile industry?
- What are the opportunities and challenges for the automobile manufacturers in Vietnam?
Research Methodology
Information Sources: The information has been taken from authentic and reliable sources like books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and access to more than 3000 paid databases.
Analysis Method: Methods like historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis have been used in the report for rational analysis.
Report Outline
Chapter 1 Analyst View
Chapter 2 South East Asia Automobile Industry
Chapter 3 Vietnam Automobile Industry Performance
3.1 Production
3.1.1 Automobiles
3.1.1.1 Passenger Cars
3.1.1.2 Light Commercial Vehicles (LCV)
3.1.2 Motorcycles
3.2 Sale
3.2.1 Automobiles
3.2.1.1 Passenger Cars
3.2.1.2 Multi Purpose Vehicles (MPV)
3.2.1.3 Sports Utility Vehicles (SUV)
3.2.2 Motorcycles
3.3 Import & Export
3.3.1 Automobiles
3.3.2 Motorcycles
3.4 Tax & Duties
3.4.1 Special Consumption Tax
3.4.2 Custom Fees
3.4.3 Import Tax
3.4.3.1 On Components
3.4.3.2 On Completely Built Units
Chapter 4 Industry Analysis
4.1 Driving Forces
4.1.1 Economic Development
4.1.2 Labor Cost
4.1.3 Disposable Income & Auto Loan Flexibilities
4.1.4 Expenditure on Automobiles
4.1.5 Demographics
4.1.6 Talent Pool
4.2 Opportunities
4.2.1 Demand for Motorcycles & Passenger Cars
4.2.2 Imported Luxury Cars
4.2.3 Green Motorcycles
4.2.4 Biofuel Vehicles
4.2.5 CCTV
4.3 Challenges
4.3.1 Localization Failure
4.3.2 Poor Vertical Industry
4.3.3 Lack of Coordination among Manufacturers
4.3.4 Investment Plans of Local Manufacturers
4.3.5 Chinese Automobiles
Chapter 5 Future Outlook
5.1 Automobiles Sale Forecast, 2007-2010
5.1.1 Passenger Cars Sale Forecast, 2007-2010
5.1.2 Multi Purpose Vehicles Sale Forecast, 2007-2010
5.1.3 Sports Utility Vehicles Sale Forecast, 2007-2010
5.2 Motorcycles
5.2.1 Motorcycles in Circulation, 2010, 2015 & 2020
5.2.1.1 Motorcycles Circulating in Urban Areas, 2010, 2015 & 2020
5.2.1.2 Motorcycles Circulating in Rural Areas, 2010, 2015 & 2020
5.2.2 Motorcycles Export Forecast, 2007-2010
Chapter 6 Key Players
6.1 Toyota Motor Corporation
6.2 Honda Motor Co.
6.3 DaimlerChrysler AG
6.4 Vietnam Motors Corporation
6.5 Suzuki Motor Corporation
6.6 Saigon Transportation Mechanical Corporation
6.7 XuanKien Private Enterprise - VINAXUKI
6.8 Vietnam Daewoo Motor Co. Ltd. (VIDAMCO)
6.9 Vietnam Engine And Agricultural Machinery Corporation
6.10 Vina Star Motors Corporation (Vinastar)
Figures
Figure 2-1: South-East Asia - Automobiles Sales Growth in Major Countries (%), 2006
Figure 2-2: Vietnam - Stock to Sale Ratio Comparison of Motorcycles with Major Asian Countries, 2005
Figure 3-1: Vietnam - Production of Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
Figure 3-2: Vietnam - Production of Joint Venture Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
Figure 3-3: Vietnam - Production of Domestic Automobiles (in Units), 1998-2006
Figure 3-4: Vietnam - Production of Passenger Cars (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 3-5: Vietnam - Production of Light Commercial Vehicles (in Units), 2004-2006
Figure 3-6: Vietnam - Production of Motorcycles (in '000 Units), 2001-2006
Figure 3-7: Vietnam - Production of Manual Transmitted Motorcycles (in '000 Units), 2001-2005
Figure 3-8: Vietnam - Production of Scooters (in '000 Units), 2001-2005
Figure 3-9: Vietnam - Sale of Automobiles (in Units), 2000-2007*
Figure 3-10: Vietnam - Sale of Passenger Cars (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
Figure 3-11: Vietnam - Sale of Multi Purpose Vehicles (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
Figure 3-12: Vietnam - Sale of Sports Utility Vehicles (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
Figure 3-13: Vietnam - Sale of Mini Buses (in Units), Jul-06 to Jun-07
Figure 3-14: Vietnam - Sale of Motorcycles (in Million Units), 2000-2006
Figure 3-15: Vietnam - Sale of Scooters (in '000 Units), 2000-2005
Figure 3-16: Vietnam - Sale of Motorcycles by Manufacturer (in '000 Units), 2000-2005
Figure 3-17: Vietnam - Import of Automobiles (in Units), 2001-2006
Figure 3-18: Vietnam - Import of Automobiles by Type (in Units), 2006
Figure 3-19: Vietnam - Import of Motorcycles (in Billion US$), 2000-2006
Figure 3-20: Vietnam - Import of CBU Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2000-2005
Figure 3-21: Vietnam - Import of Motorcycle Parts (in Million US$), 2000-2005
Figure 3-22: Vietnam - Export of Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2000-2006E
Figure 3-23: Vietnam - Export of CBU Motorcycles (in Million US$), 2002-2006E
Figure 3-24: Vietnam - Export of Motorcycle Parts (in Million US$), 2002-2006E
Figure 3-25: Vietnam - Special Consumption Tax (%), 2006
Figure 3-26: Vietnam - Custom Fees (in VND), 2006
Figure 3-27: Vietnam - Import Tax on Auto Components (%), 2007
Figure 4-1: Vietnam - GDP Growth in Comparison to Emerging East Asia (%), 2004-2007*
Figure 4-2: Vietnam - Labor Cost Change in Comparison to Other Countries (%), 2001 & 2006
Figure 4-3: Vietnam - Disposable Income (in Million US$), 2001-2006E
Figure 4-4: Vietnam - Expenditure on Purchasing Automobiles (in Trillion VND), 2001-2006
Figure 4-5: Vietnam - Spending on Buses, Coaches & Taxis (in Trillion VND), 2001-2006
Figure 4-6: Vietnam - Population of Studying Age Group (in '000), 2000 & 2005
Figure 4-7: Vietnam - Population of Age Group 30-59 (in '000), 2000 & 2005
Figure 4-8: Vietnam - Forecast for Population of Middle Age & Studying Age Group (in '000), 2010 & 2015
Figure 4-9: Vietnam - Projected Biofuel Production Plan (in Million Liter), 2006-2010 & 2011-2020
Figure 5-1: Vietnam - Forecast for Automobiles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-2: Vietnam - Forecast for Passenger Cars Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-3: Vietnam - Forecast for Multi Purpose Vehicles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-4: Vietnam - Forecast for Sports Utility Vehicles Sale (in Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-5: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles in Circulation (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
Figure 5-6: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles Circulating in Urban Areas (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
Figure 5-7: Vietnam - Forecast for Number of Motorcycles Circulating in Rural Areas (in Million Units), 2010, 2015 & 2020
Figure 5-8: Vietnam - Forecast for Motorcycles Export (in Million US$), 2007-2010
Tables
Table 3-1: Vietnam - Automobiles Sale by Company (in Units), 2006
Table 6-1: Toyota Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
Table 6-2: Honda Motor Co. - Key Financials (in Billion Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
Table 6-3: DaimlerChrysler AG - Key Financials (in Million Euro), 2004-2006
Table 6-4: Mazda Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yen), 2005-06 & 2006-07
Table 6-5: Suzuki Motor Corporation - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-05 & 2005-06
