Report Summary

The report "2006-2010 China Automobile Industry Forecast" is a work of intensive research and objective analysis of the growing automobile industry, service quality, existing players and future prospects in China in global context.  This report highlights the China auto industry's scenario with detailed data and analysis to help investors and global players to identify the leading opportunities in this evolving market.

China Automotive Market

In the past five years, precisely after its accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, China's automotive industry has seen a phenomenal growth.  This growth was coming from a country with a steadily growing economy since the last 15 years and a vast consumer base.  Currently, China is the second largest automotive market after Japan and third largest automotive producing market in the world.

Key Findings

-  China's motor vehicle production and sales increased by 27.32% and 25% over the year 2005 respectively and sales crossed 7 Million Units in 2006.
-  China's car consumption showed a CAGR of 54.42% from 2001 to 2005.
-  Per 1000 people passenger car penetration of China was around 11 units in 2006.  This was significantly lower than other countries.
-  Despite the squeezing pollution regulations, the motorcycle production and sales surpassed 21 Million Units mark in 2006.
-  Per capita GDP (which is an indicator of the purchasing power) of China has risen steadily.  It was less than US$ 1000 in the year 1991 and was around US$ 7600 in 2006.

Key Players

This section gives an overview of the domestic and international players in the China Auto Industry on the basis of the market capitalization and sales. The main key players discussed in the report are  Volkswagen, Mazda, Nissan Motor Company Ltd., Honda, General Motors, Hyundai Motor Company, Toyota, Suzuki, Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd., Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd., Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

-  Demand and supply analysis of China's auto industry.
-  What is the expected growth rate in China passenger car industry?
-  What are the drivers for the China's auto market?
-  Who are the key players in the China auto industry?
-  What are the opportunities for the players to exist in the Chinese auto market?
-  What are the factors that can slowdown the industry growth rate?

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources:  The information has been sourced from various sources like Books, Newspapers, Trade Journals, and White papers, Industry portals, Government Agencies, Trade associations. Monitoring Industry News and developments, and Access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method:  The following analysis methods have been used - Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Table of Content

Section 1    Analyst View

Section 2    Research Overview

Section 3    Industry Overview

3.1    Global Automobile Market
    3.1.1 Production
    3.1.2 Sales
3.2    Global Automotive Market by Region
    3.2.1 Production
        3.2.1.1 Passenger Cars
        3.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
        3.2.1.3 Heavy Trucks
        3.2.1.4 Light Commercial Vehicles
3.3    Future Forecast, 2007-2010

Section 4    China Automotive Industry Performance

4.1    Past Performance
    4.1.1  Performance by Product Segments
        4.1.1.1  Heavy Commercial Vehicle
        4.1.1.2  Light Commercial Vehicles
        4.1.1.3  Passenger Car
        4.1.1.4  Two Wheeler (Motorcycles)
    4.1.2  Performance by Manufacturers
    4.1.3  Export & Import
4.2    Current Performance
    4.2.1  Performance by Product Segment
        4.2.1.1  Passenger Car
        4.2.1.2  Commercial Vehicle (Bus & Truck)
        4.2.1.3  Motorcycle
    4.2.2  Export & Import

Section 5    Industry Analysis

5.1    Forces Driving the Market
    5.1.1  Growing Economy
    5.1.2  Infrastructure
    5.1.3  Foreign Investment
    5.1.4  Business Attractiveness
5.2    Challenges Faced by the Industry
    5.2.1  Environmental Concerns
    5.2.2  Rising Oil Prices
    5.2.3  Market Competition
5.3    Key Opportunities of the Industry
    5.3.1  Passenger Car Stock
    5.3.2  Low Emission Automobiles
    5.3.3  Increasing Purchasing Power
    5.3.4  Vertical Integration
5.4    Future Prospects, 2007-2010
    5.4.1  Passenger Car Sales Forecast, 2007-2010
    5.4.2  Passenger Car Registration Forecast, 2007-2010
    5.4.3  Commercial Vehicle Sales Forecast, 2007-2010
    5.4.4  Commercial Vehicle Registration Forecast, 2007-2010
    5.4.5  Motorcycles Sales Forecast, 2007-2010
    5.4.6  Automotive Export Forecast, 2007-2010
5.5    China Auto Policy to Establish a Competitive Automotive Industry at Global Level
5.6    Impact of Auto Industry's WTO Commitments
    5.6.1  Tariff & Non-Tariff Measures
    5.6.2  Investment Measures
    5.6.3  Trade in Services related to Automobiles

Section 6    Major Players

6.1    Volkswagen
6.2    Mazda
6.3    Nissan Motor Company Ltd.
6.4    Honda
6.5    General Motors
6.6    Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (Group)
6.7    Hyundai Motor Company
6.8    Toyota
6.9    Suzuki
6.10  Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd.
6.11  Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co. Ltd.
6.12  Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd.

Figures

Figure 3-1  General Automotive Industry Model
Figure 3-2  Worldwide - Automotive Production by Region (%), 2005
Figure 3-3  Worldwide - Passenger Car Sales (in Million Units), 2000-2004
Figure 3-4  Worldwide - Car Production (in Million Units), 2005
Figure 3-5  Worldwide - Passenger Car Registrations (in Million Units), 2002-2006
Figure 3-6  Worldwide - Commercial Vehicles (including Buses) Production (%), 2005
Figure 3-7  Worldwide - Heavy Trucks Production by Region (%), 2005
Figure 3-8  Worldwide - Light Commercial Vehicle Production by Region (%), 2005
Figure 3-9  Worldwide - Forecast of Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 4-1  China - Automobile Production (in Million Units), 2001-2005
Figure 4-2  China - Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2005
Figure 4-3  China - Automotive Industry Market Share (%), 2005
Figure 4-4  China - Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Thousands Units), 2002-2004
Figure 4-5  China - Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales Share by Market Players (%), 2004
Figure 4-6  China - Light Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Million Units), 2002-2004
Figure 4-7  China - Passenger Car Sales (in Million Units), 2001-2005
Figure 4-8  China - Market Share of Passenger Cars by Company (%), 2004
Figure 4-9  China - Motorcycle Production (in Million Units), 2004 & 2005
Figure 4-10  China - Automotive Component Sales (in Million Yuan), 2004 & 2005
Figure 4-11  China - Passenger Car Imports (in Thousand Units), 2000-2004
Figure 4-12  China - Production & Sales of Automobile (in Million Units), 2006
Figure 4-13  China - Production & Sales of Passenger Cars (in Million Units), 2006
Figure 4-14  China - Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2004-2006E
Figure 4-15  China - Production & Sales of Commercial Vehicles (in Million Units), 2006
Figure 4-16  China - Registration of Commercial Vehicles (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
Figure 4-17  China - Production & Sales of Motorcycle (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
Figure 4-18  China - Automotive Exports & Imports (in Thousand Units), 2005 & 2006
Figure 4-19  China - Foreign Exchange Generated by Auto Export (in Billion US$), 2005 & 2006
Figure 5-1  China - Per Capita GDP Growth (in US$), 2003-2006E
Figure 5-2  BRIC - FDI Cumulative Inflows (in Billion US$), 2002-2005
Figure 5-3  China - Business Indicators, 2006
Figure 5-4  China - Production & Consumption of Petroleum Products (in Thousand Barrel/Day), 2001-2006
Figure 5-5  Worldwide - Number of Cars/1000 Population, 2006
Figure 5-6  China - Number of Passenger Cars/1000 Population, 1998-2006
Figure 5-7  China - Forecast for the Automobile Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-8  China - Forecast for Passenger Cars Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-9  China - Second Hand Car Sales (in Thousand Units), 2005 & 2006
Figure 5-10  China - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-11  China - Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-12  China - Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Registration (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-13  China - Forecast for Motorcycle Sales (in Million Units), 2007-2010
Figure 5-14  China - Forecast for Automotive Export (in Billion US$), 2007-2010

Tables

Table 3-1  Worldwide - Automotive Production (in Thousand Units), 2005
Table 3-2  Worldwide - Heavy Truck Production (in Units), 2004 & 2005
Table 4-1  China - Motorcycle Sales (in Units), 2003 & 2004
Table 4-2  China - Output by Leading Automobile Manufacturers (in Units), 2004
Table 6-1  Volkswagen - Financial Overview (in US$), 2003-2005
Table 6-2  Mazda - Financial Overview (in US$), 2004-2006
Table 6-3  Nissan Motor Company Ltd. - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
Table 6-4  Honda - Financial Overview, 2004-2006
Table 6-5  General Motors - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
Table 6-6  Hyundai Motor Company - Financial Overview, 2003-2005
Table 6-7  Toyota - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
Table 6-8  Suzuki - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
Table 6-9  Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005
Table 6-10  Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co. Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005
Table 6-11  Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd. - Financial Overview, 2005