2007-2008 China Feed Market Review & Outlook

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[Key Words] China Feed Market Review

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Published:            February 2008
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Research Background

China's feed market experienced a hard time in 2007.  Hog farms suffered a substantial reduction of hog inventory.  Demand for Feed reduced largely and feedstuff price surged on a high level.  Soymeal price even surpassed the highest level of RMB3,500/MT in 2004, resulting in more than 5,000 mid-small scale feed manufacturers suffering from stop production in China.

Affected by tense hog supply and surging hog purchasing price, numbers of large scale animal slaughtering and meat processing enterprises entered animal breeding and feed producing industry, causing a reduction of feed market share rate.  Meanwhile, a drowsy feed demand and high feedstuff price caused a reduction of profit rate, even losses in feed industry.  Therefore, large scale feed groups engaged in animal breeding to expand market share and increase integration system as to gain more profit and accelerate market distribution.  While the cessation of small scale feed factories provide more space for the promotion of large scale enterprises business, it is expected feed market in China will be carved up by large scale enterprises in 2008.

2007 is a milestone in Chinese feed industry.  With the enlargement of animal breeding scale and long-term feedstuff price, product structure adjustment will be carried out in feed production, so output growth rate tend to be slowed down.  In terms of feed varieties, formula feed and premixed feed increased proportion, while concentrated feed proportion reduced.  In addition, corn feed supply tends to be strained on year-on-year basis, so farmers have enlarged utilization of non-regular feed, although which faced industrialization lag.

On the basis of livestock and poultry inventory and feedstuff in 2007, this study gives an in-depth analysis of demand, production and product structure in the feed industry in 2007 and an outlook of the feed market based on changes in breeding scale and feedstuff market in 2008, so as to provide a reliable reference to relevant enterprises in their decision-making.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1    Exterior Macro Environment of China's Feed Industry

1.1    China's Feed Legislation and Influences
1.2    China's Total Grain Output and Influences
1.3    China's Changes of Animal Inventory and Influences
1.4    China's Feed Stuff Supply and Influences
1.5    China's Changes of Grain Further Processing Policies and Influences

Chapter 2    Production & Consumption of Manufactured Feed in China

2.1    Production of Manufactured Feed in 2007
2.2    Analysis of Manufactured Feed Demand in 2007
    2.2.1  Influences of Livestock and Poultry Inventory on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.2  Influences of Feed Price on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.3  Influences of Animal Breeding Scale on Manufactured Feed
    2.2.4  Influences of Livestock Product Consumption on Manufactured Feed
2.3    Structure of Feed Enterprises in China, 2007
    2.3.1  Economic Form
    2.3.2  Product Type
    2.3.3  Production Capacity of Compound Feed Enterprises
2.4    Analysis of Manufactured Feed Supply in China, 2007
    2.4.1  Production Capacity of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.2  Feedstuff Cost of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.3  Output of Manufactured Feed
    2.4.4  Output of Large Scale Feed Enterprises
    2.4.5  Output of Feed Enterprises above Designated Size
2.5    Analysis of Manufactured Feed Consumption
    2.5.1  Consumption of Manufactured Feed
    2.5.2  Consumption of Hog Formula Feed
    2.5.3  Consumption of Meat Poultry Formula Feed
    2.5.4  Consumption of Poultry Layer Formula Feed
    2.5.5  Consumption of Aquatic Formula Feed
    2.5.6  Consumption of Ruminant Formula Feed
2.6    Outlook of Manufactured Feed Production and Consumption in 2008

Chapter 3    Analysis of Feed Stuff Consumption in China

3.1    Consumption of Stuff for Formula Feed in 2007
3.2    Consumption of Stuff for Farm Mixed Feed in 2007
    3.2.1  Consumption of Stuff for Concentrated Feed
    3.2.2  Consumption of Stuff for Premixed Feed
3.3    Consumption of Stuff for Hog Feed in 2007
3.4    Consumption of Stuff for Meat Poultry Feed in 2007
3.5    Consumption of Stuff for Poultry Layer Feed in 2007
3.6    Consumption of Stuff for Aquatic Feed in 2007
3.7    Outlook of Feed Stuff Consumption in 2008

Chapter 4    Analysis of Corn Market for Feed Use in China

4.1    Review of International Corn Market in 2007
4.2    Analysis of Corn Supply in China in 2007
4.3    Analysis of Corn Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    4.3.1  Corn Price and Corn Consumption for Feed Use
    4.3.2  Substitute of Other Energy Feed for Corn
4.4    Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in 2007
    4.4.1  Corn Consumption in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed
    4.4.2  Corn Consumption in Livestock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
4.5    Outlook of Corn Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Chapter 5    Analysis of Soy Meal Market in China

5.1    Review of International Soybean Market in 2007
5.2    Analysis of Soybean Supply in China in 2007
    5.2.1  Domestic Soybean Supply
    5.2.2  Imported Soybean Supply
5.3    Analysis of Soy Meal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    5.3.1  Soy Meal Price and Soy Meal Consumption for Feed Use
    5.3.2  Substitute of Other Albumen Feed for Soy Meal
5.4    Consumption Structure of Soy Meal for Feed Use in 2007
    5.4.1  Soy Meal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    5.4.2  Soy Meal Consumption in Livestock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
5.5    Outlook of Soy Meal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Chapter 6    Analysis of Fishmeal Market for Feed Use in China

6.1    Review of International Fishmeal Market in 2007
6.2    Analysis of Fishmeal Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    6.2.1  Domestic Fishmeal Supply
    6.2.2  Imported Fishmeal Supply
6.3    Analysis of Fishmeal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
    6.3.1  Fishmeal Price and Fishmeal Consumption for Feed Use
    6.3.2  Substitute of Other Albumen Feed for Fishmeal
6.4    Consumption Structure of Fishmeal for Feed Use in 2007
    6.4.1  Fishmeal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    6.4.2  Fishmeal Consumption in Livestock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
6.5    Outlook of Fishmeal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Chapter 7    Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Market for Feed Use in China

7.1    Review of International Meat & Bone Meal Market in 2007
7.2    Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    7.2.1  Domestic Meat & Bone Meal Supply
    7.2.2  Imported Meat & Bone Meal Supply
7.3    Analysis of Meat & Bone Meal Demand for Feed Use in 2007
7.4    Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal for Feed Use in 2007
    7.4.1  Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Formula, Concentrated and Farm Mixed Feed
    7.4.2  Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Livestock, Poultry and Aquatic Feed
7.5    Outlook of Meat & Bone Meal Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Chapter 8    Analysis of Lysine Market for Feed Use in China

8.1    Review of International Lysine Market in 2007
8.2    Analysis of Lysine Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    8.2.1  Domestic Bone Meal Supply Output of Major Lysine Manufacturing Enterprises
    8.2.2  98.5% Lysine Supply
    8.2.3  65% Lysine Supply
    8.2.4  Imported Lysine Supply
8.3    Analysis of Lysine Demand for Feed Use in 2007
8.4    Consumption Structure of Lysine for Feed Use in 2007
    8.4.1  98.5% Lysine and 65% Lysine Consumption
    8.4.2  Domestic and Exported Lysine Consumption
8.5    Outlook of Lysine Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Chapter 9    Analysis of Methionine Market for Feed Use in China

9.1    Review of International Methionine Market in 2007
9.2    Analysis of Methionine Supply for Feed Use in China in 2007
    9.2.1  Domestic Methionine Supply
    9.2.2  Imported Methionine Supply
9.3    Analysis of Methionine Demand for Feed Use in 2007
9.4    Outlook of Methionine Consumption for Feed Use in 2008

Figures

Figure 2.1  China's Livestock & Poultry Slaughter and Manufactured Feed Demand, 1998-2007
Figure 2.2  China's Demand for Formula, Concentrated and Premixed Feed, 1998-2007
Figure 2.3  China's Manufactured Feed Output and Production Capability, 1998-2007
Figure 2.4  China's Formula Feed Production Cost, 1998-2007
Figure 2.5  China's Manufactured Feed Output, 1998-2007
Figure 2.6  China's Concentrated Feed Output and Proportion, 1998-2007
Figure 2.7  China's Feed Enterprises Economic Form, 2007
Figure 2.8  China's Feed Enterprises Product Type, 2007
Figure 2.9  China's Formula Feed Production Capability, 2007
Figure 2.10  Production Capability of Manufactured Feed in China, 1991-2007
Figure 2.11  Production Cost of Manufactured Feed in China, 2006-2007
Figure 2.12  Output of Manufactured Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.13  Output of Large Scale Feed Enterprises in China, 2000-2007
Figure 2.14  Output of Feed Enterprises above Designated Size in China, 2000-2007
Figure 2.15  Supply and Demand of Manufactured Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.16  Supply and Demand of Hog Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.17  Supply and Demand of Meat Poultry Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.18  Supply and Demand of Poultry Layer in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.19  Supply and Demand of Aquatic Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 2.20  Supply and Demand of Ruminant Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.1  Consumption of Stuff for Major Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.2  Consumption of Stuff for Concentrated Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.3  Consumption of Stuff for Premixed Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.4  Consumption of Stuff for Hog Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.5  Consumption of Stuff for Meat Poultry Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.6  Consumption of Stuff for Poultry Layer Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 3.7  Consumption of Stuff for Aquatic Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 4.1  Output and Consumption of Corn in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 4.2  Output and Consumption of Corn in China, 1998-2007
Figure 4.3  Imports and Exports of Corn in China, 1998-2007
Figure 4.4  Structure of Imports and Exports of Corn in China (by country), 2007
Figure 4.5  Corn Price and Consumption of Corn for Feed Use in China, 1998-2007
Figure 4.6  Consumption of Corn for Feed Use and Other Energy Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 4.7  Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure 4.8  Consumption Structure of Corn for Feed Use in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure 5.1  Output and Squeeze Amount of Soybean in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 5.2  Output, Imports and Squeeze Amount of Soybean in China, 1998-2007
Figure 5.3  Structure of Imported Soybean in China (by original countries), 2007
Figure 5.4  Soybean Price and Squeeze Amount in China, 1998-2007
Figure 5.5  Soy Meal Price and Squeeze Amount in China, 1998-2007
Figure 5.6  Structure of Imports and Exports of Soy Meal in China (by country), 2007
Figure 5.7  Consumption of Soy Meal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 5.8  Consumption Structure of Soy Meal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure 5.9  Consumption Structure of Soy Meal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure 6.1  Output of Fishmeal in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 6.2  Output, Imports and Consumption of Fishmeal in China, 1998-2007
Figure 6.3  Structure of Imported Fishmeal in China (by original countries), 2007
Figure 6.4  Fishmeal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 6.5  Consumption of Fishmeal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 6.6  Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure 6.7  Consumption Structure of Fishmeal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure 7.1  Output of Meat & Bone Meal in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 7.2  Output, Imports and Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal in China, 1998-2007
Figure 7.3  Structure of Imported Meat & Bone Meal in China (by original countries), 2007
Figure 7.4  Meat & Bone Meal Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 7.5  Consumption of Meat & Bone Meal and Other Albumen Feed in China, 1998-2007
Figure 7.6  Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Formula Feed and Farm Mixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure 7.7  Consumption Structure of Meat & Bone Meal in Each Animal Feed in China, 2007
Figure 8.1  Output of Lysine in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 8.2  Output, Imports and Consumption of Lysine in China, 1998-2007
Figure 8.3  Regional Structure of Lysine Production in China, 2007
Figure 8.4  Enterprise Structure of Lysine Production in China, 2007
Figure 8.5  Structure of Imported Lysine in China (by destination countries), 2007
Figure 8.6  Lysine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 2007
Figure 8.7 Consumption Structure of Lysine in Formula Feed, Concentrated Feed & Premixed Feed in China, 2007
Figure 9.1  Output of Methionine in the World, 1998-2007
Figure 9.2  Imports and Consumption of Methionine in China, 1998-2007
Figure 9.3  Structure of Imported Methionine in China (by original countries), 2007
Figure 9.4  Methionine Price and Consumption for Feed in China, 2007
Figure 9.5  Consumption Structure of Methionine in Formula Feed, Concentrated Feed & Premixed Feed in China, 2007

Tables

Table 1  China Manufactured Feed Production (by provinces), 2007
Table 2  Monthly Feed Output of Scaled Feed Enterprises in China, 2007
Table 3  China Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 4  China Hog Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 5  China Poultry Layer Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 6  China Meat Poultry Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 7  China Aquatic Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 8  China Ruminant Formula Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 9  China Formula Feed Output of Other Animals (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 10  China Concentrated Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 11  China Premixed Feed Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 12  China Formula Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 13  China Hog Formula Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 14  China Meat Poultry Formula Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 15  China Poultry Layer Formula Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 16  China Aquatic Formula Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 17  China Concentrated Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 18  China Premixed Feed Consumption (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 19  China Hog Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 20  China Broiler Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 21  China Layer Formula Feed Retail Prices (by provinces), 2007
Table 22  China Corn Retail Prices, 2007
Table 23  China Soymeal Retail Prices, 2007
Table 24  China Imported Fishmeal Retail Prices,2007
Table 25  China Corn Consumption for Feed, 1998-2007
Table 26  China Corn Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998-2007
Table 27  China Corn Consumption in Farm Mixed Feed, 1998-2007
Table 28  China Corn Export by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 29  China Corn Import by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 30  China Soymeal Consumption for Feed, 1998-2007
Table 31  China Soymeal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998-2007
Table 32  China Soymeal Consumption with Concentrated Feed, 1998-2007
Table 33  China Soymeal Export by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 34  China Soymeal Import by Original Country/Region,2007
Table 35  China Fishmeal Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 36  China Fishmeal Consumption for Feed, 1998-2007
Table 37  China Fishmeal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998-2007
Table 38  China Fishmeal Consumption with Concentrated Feed, 1998-2007
Table 39  China Fishmeal Import by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 40  China Fishmeal Balance Sheet, 2000-2008
Table 41  China Meat & Bone Meal Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 42  China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption for Feed (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 43  China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Formula Feed, 1998-2007
Table 44  China Meat & Bone Meal Consumption in Concentrated Feed, 1998-2007
Table 45  China Meat & Bone Meal (Beef, Sheep) Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 46  China Other Meat & Bone Meal Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 47  China Meat & Bone Meal Balance Sheet, 2000-2008
Table 48  China Lysine Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 49  China Lysine Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 50  China Lysine Exports by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 51  China Lysine Ester & Salt Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 52  China Lysine Ester & Salt Export by Destination Country/Region, 2007
Table 53  China Lysine Balance Sheet, 2000-2008
Table 54  China Methionine Output (by provinces), 1998-2007
Table 55  China Methionine Imports by Original Country/Region, 2007
Table 56  China Methionine Balance Sheet, 2000-2008