Special Report on China Rapeseed Oil Market
http://www.chinaccm.com 2007-9-9 10:25

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Dec. 2007

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China Rapeseed Oil Market

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  • Executive Summary
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Research Background

As a newly listed futures variety, rapeseed oil obtained great attention in the futures exchange market.  Based on the overall survey, this report is a precious special research report for vegoil processing enterprises, vegoil spot futures merchants, futures investment agencies, futures broker companies and related insiders who pay great attention to China's rapeseed oil industry.

As the first research report studying the whole rapeseed oil production chain, it will focus on rapeseed planting, rapeseed processing, rapeseed oil circulation and reserve in order to analysis rapeseed oil development and forecast the future trends under the background of vegoil industry and international market.  It will forecast for China rapeseed processing industry by analyzing the following seven issues; state industry policy environment, rapeseed oil consumption prospect, domestic and overseas rapeseed oil supply and demand situation, by which to respond the questions insiders required:

1.  What is the policy environment prospect of vegoil processing industry in China?
2.  How much potential will rapeseed oil demand grow further?
3.  What is the production capacity of rapeseed oil like in the future in China?
4.  What is the future processing scale of rapeseed oil under the background of the overall oil processing industry?
5.  What is the future trend of import and export of rapeseed oil in China?

The report serves as an important tool for insiders in China rapeseed oil industry to capture the future trends and investment opportunities therein.


Table of Contents

Chapter 1    Introduction to Quality of Rapeseed Oil and Rapeseed Meal

1.1    Analysis of Nutrition Quality of Rapeseed Oil
1.2    Analysis of Nutrition Quality of Rapeseed Meal

Chapter    2    Policy Environment of China's Rapeseed oil Industry

2.1    Evolvement of Policies for Growing Oilseeds in China
2.2    Assessment of Policy Guidance for China's Oil and Fat Industry
2.3    Policy Trend for China's Vegetable Oil Trade
2.4    Trend of China's Bio-energy Development and Policy Guidance
2.5    Analysis of National Reserve of Edible Oil and the Rotation Policy
2.6    Changes of China's Rapeseed Oil Quality Standards and Evaluations

Chapter 3    Analysis of the Prospects of China's Rapeseed Oil Consumption

3.1    China's Vegetable Oil Consumption and its Position at the World Market
    3.1.1  The Weight of China's Vegetable Oil Consumption in the World Market
    3.1.2  Analysis of China's Vegetable Oil Consumption Trend
3.2    Status of Rapeseed Oil in China's Vegetable Oil Consumption and Future Trend
3.3    China's Rapeseed Oil Consuming Structure and the Trend
3.4    Analysis of Prospects of Household Consumption of Rapeseed Oil in China
    3.4.1  Analysis of the Trend of Household Consumption of Edible Vegetable Oil
    3.4.2  Household Food Consuming Structure of Residents and the Trend
    3.4.3  Income Growth and its Influence on Household Consumption of Vegetable Oil
    3.4.4  Analysis of the Growth Potential of Vegetable Oil Household Consumption from the Solid Population Growth 36
    3.4.5  Distribution of China's Main Rapeseed Oil Consuming Regions
    3.4.6 Estimates of the Growth Potential of Household Consumption of Rapeseed Oil
3.5    Analysis of Restaurant Consumption of Rapeseed Oil in China
    3.5.1  Development of the Restaurant Industry and Influence on Vegetable Oil Consumption
    3.5.2  Impact on Vegetable Oil Restaurant Consumption from Urbanization Process
    3.5.3  Regional Distribution of Restaurant Consumption of Vegetable Oil
    3.5.4  Estimates of the Growth Potential of China's Restaurant Consumption of Rapeseed Oil
3.6    Analysis of the Prospect of Industrial Consumption of China's Rapeseed Oil
    3.6.1  Analysis of the Prospect of China's Vegetable Oil Processing Industry
    3.6.2  Main Forms of Industrial Consumption of Vegetable Oil and the Trend
    3.6.3  Demands for Bio-diesel in China and the Trend
    3.6.4  Prediction of the Growth Potential of China's Industrial Demands for Rapeseed Oil
3.7    Rapeseed Oil Price Fluctuation and the Impact on Demands for Rapeseed Oil
3.8    Evaluation and Prediction of China's Rapeseed Oil Demand Growth

Chapter 4    Analysis of Supply Situation of Rapeseed Oil in China

4.1    Changing Trend of Rapeseed Acreage and Output
    4.1.1  Change of Acreage
    4.1.2  Change of Output
    4.1.3  Analysis of Growing Potential of Rapeseed Production and Outlook
4.2    Layout of Rapeseed Production
    4.2.1  Layout
    4.2.2  Changes of Rapeseed Production of Main Provinces
4.3    Basic Situation of Rapeseed Processing in China
    4.3.1  Quantity, Scale and Layout of Processing Companies
    4.3.2  Processing Chain of Rapeseed and Main Products
    4.3.3  Output of Rapeseed Processed Products
4.4    Analysis of Processing Efficiency of Rapeseed
    4.4.1  Status of Rapeseed Processing Efficiency in Oilseed Processing
    4.4.2  Analysis of Rapeseed Processing Efficiency and Trend
4.5    Changes of Rapeseed Oil Production and Trend
    4.5.1  Total Output and Trend of Rapeseed Oil
    4.5.2  Changes of Rapeseed Oil Output of Main Producing Regions
    4.5.3  Changes of Supply of Substitutes
4.6    Analysis of Import and Export Trend of Rapeseed Oil and Rapeseed
    4.6.1  Import and Export of Rapeseed
    4.6.2  Import and Export of Rapeseed Oil
4.7    National Reserve of Rapeseed Oil
    4.7.1  Changes of National Reserve
    4.7.2  Layout of National Reserve Depots and Capacity
    4.7.3  Rotation Speed and Outlet of Rapeseed Oil

Chapter 5    Forecast of Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil and Price

5.1 Equilibrium of Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand
5.2 Trend of Spot Price of Rapeseed Oil and Forecast

Chapter 6    Case Study of Typical Rapeseed Enterprises

6.1    Analysis of Vertical Development of Key Rapeseed Enterprises
    6.1.1  COFCO Ruixiang Grain and Oil Industry (Jingmen) Co., Ltd.
    6.1.2  Xinyuan Grain and Oil (Wuhan) Co., Ltd.
    6.1.3  Anhui Fengyuan Oil and Fat Co., Ltd
    6.1.4  Zhejiang Xinshi Oil and Fat Holding Co., Ltd.
6.2    Horizontal Comparison of the Competitiveness of Key Rapeseed Enterprises

Chapter 7    Supply and Demand for Rapeseed Oil in the World

7.1    Global Output of Rapeseed Oil
7.2    Output of Rapeseed by Main Producing Countries
7.3    Global Output of Rapeseed Oil
7.4    Status of Rapeseed Oil in World Vegetable Oil
7.5    Output of Rapeseed Oil of Main Producing Countries
7.6    Rapeseed Oil Consumption in the World
7.7    Consumption of Rapeseed Oil of Main Countries
7.8    Export of Rapeseed Oil in the World
7.9    Import of Rapeseed Oil in the World
7.10    Equilibrium of Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand in the World

Chapter 8    Supply in Canada

8.1    Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil in Canada
    8.1.1  Output of Rapeseed Oil and Forecast of Canada
    8.1.2  Oil Crushing of Rapeseed in Canada
    8.1.3  Export of Rapeseed from Canada
    8.1.4  Equilibrium of Supply and Demand of Rapeseed in Canada
8.2    Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil in Canada
    8.2.1  Output of Rapeseed Oil in Canada
    8.2.2  Export of Rapeseed Oil from Canada
    8.2.3  Equilibrium of Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil in Canada
8.3    Policy Analysis of Rapeseed and Oil in Canada
    8.3.1  Agricultural Policy on Rapeseed Oil in Canada
    8.3.2  Policy on Import and Export of Rapeseed and Oil of Canada

Chapter 9    Supply in EU

9.1    Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil in EU
    9.1.1  Output of Rapeseed Oil in EU and Forecast
    9.1.2  Export of Rapeseed from EU
    9.1.3  Equilibrium of Rapeseed Supply and Demand in EU
9.2    Supply and Demand of Rapeseed Oil in EU
    9.2.1  Output of Rapeseed Oil in EU
    9.2.2  Demand for Rapeseed Oil in EU
    9.2.3  Export of Rapeseed Oil from EU
    9.2.4  Equilibrium of Supply and Demand for Rapeseed Oil in EU
9.3    Analysis of Policy on Rapeseed and Oil in EU
    9.3.1  Agricultural Policy on Rapeseed in EU
    9.3.2  Policy on Import and Export of Rapeseed and Oil of EU

Chapter 10    Supply in Australia

10.1    Supply and Demand for Rapeseed in Australia
    10.1.1  Rapeseed Output and the Estimate
    10.1.2  Rapeseed Export
    10.1.3  Domestic Demands for Rapeseed
    10.1.4  Demand-supply Equilibrium of Rapeseed

Chapter 11    World Futures Market for Rapeseed and Rapeseed Oil

11.1    Canadian Rapeseed Futures Market
    11.1.1  Development of the Canadian Rapeseed Futures Market
    11.1.2  Dealing in Futures Contracts of Rapeseed in Canada
    11.1.3  Analysis of the Changes of Prices of Canada Rapeseed Futures
11.2    Pan-European Stock Exchange Rapeseed Futures Market
    11.2.1  Development of Rapeseed Futures Market at Pan-European Stock Exchange
    11.2.2  Rapeseed Futures Contracts at Pan-European Stock Exchange
11.3    Comparison of Dealing in Rapeseed Futures Contracts between China and other Countries

Chapter 12    Factors Affecting the Price of Rapeseed Oil

12.1    Beginning Inventory of Rapeseed Oil and the Impact on Price
12.2    Impact on Price from Output of Rapeseed Oil
    12.2.1  Growing Area Affects the Output of Rapeseed
    12.2.2  Impact of Climate Changes on the Yield of Rapeseed
12.3    Import and Export of Rapeseed Oil and the Impact on Domestic Price
12.4    Rapeseed Oil Consumption and its Influence on the Price
12.5    Ending Inventory of Rapeseed Oil and Its Influence on Price
12.6    Impact from Other Oil and Fat Goods on the Price of Rapeseed Oil
12.7    Rapeseed Meal Price and its Influence on Rapeseed Oil

Chapter 13    Analysis of Price Trend of Rapeseed Oil in History

Chapter 14    Bio-diesel Development in the World

14.1    Bio-diesel in Different Countries
14.2    Analysis of Future Prospects
14.3    Impacts on the Oil and Fat Industry
Appendix

Figures

Figure 1  Comparison of Dietary Fat
Figure 2  Distribution of Vegoil Consumption in the World
Figure 3  Trend of Vegoil Consumption in China  2000/01-2007/08
Figure 4  Proportion of Vegoil Consumption by Varieties in China  2006/2007
Figure 5  Trend of Rapeseed Oil Consumption in China  1993/94-2007/08
Figure 6  Change Trend of Consumption Structure of Rapeseed Oil in China 
Figure 7  Consumption Structure of Rapeseed Oil in China  2006/2007 Corp Year
Figure 8  Trend of Household Consumption of VegOil in China  1999-2006
Figure 9  Changes of Per Capita Expenditure of Edible Oil Consumption in China  1995-2005
Figure 10  Growth Trend of Food Expenditure in China  1995-2006
Figure 11  Growth Trend of Oil and Fats Expenditure in China  1995-2005
Figure 12  Changes of Proportion of Oil Expenditure by Urban Residents in China  1995-2005
Figure 13  Changes of Structure of Food Expenditure by Urban Residents in China  1995-2005
Figure 14  Structure of Food Expenditure by Urban Residents in China  2005
Figure 15  Growth Trend of Resident Income  1978-2006
Figure 16  Comparison of Income Trend and Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in China  1995-2006
Figure 17  Comparison of Household Vegoil Consumption and Population Growth in China  1999-2006
Figure 18  Stable Growth of Population in China  1978-2006
Figure 19  Growth Trend of Household Rapeseed Oil Consumption in China  1993/94-2010/11
Figure 20  Trend of Income of Catering Industry in China  1994-2007
Figure 21  Stable Growth of Outside Dining Consumption by Urban Residents in China  1995-2005
Figure 22  Trend of Urbanization Progress in China  1978-2006
Figure 23  Comparison of Vegoil Consumption and Outside Dining Consumption by Urban Residents in Catering Industry in China  1997-2005
Figure 24  Distribution of Income of Catering Industry in China  2006
Figure 25  Consumption Trend of Rapeseed Oil in Catering Industry in China  1993/94-2010/11
Figure 27  Domestic Consumption Growth Trend of Rapeseed Oil in China  1993/94-2010/11
Figure 28  Changes of Total Planting Areas of Rapeseed in China  1990-2007
Figure 29  Changes of Total Production of Rapeseed in China  1990-2007
Figure 30  Comparison of Rapeseed Planting Areas and Total Infield Areas in China  1996-2006
Figure 31  Change Trend of Per Yield Acreage of Rapeseed  1996-2006
Figure 32  Analysis & Forecast of Growth Potential of Rapeseed Production  1990-2012
Figure 33  Regional Layout of Planting Areas of Rapeseed in China  2006
Figure 34  Changes of Planting Areas of Rapeseed in Main Producing Provinces  1990-2006
Figure 35  Changes of Yield Per Acreage of Rapeseed in Main Producing Provinces
Figure 36  Changes of Production of Rapeseed in Main Producing Provinces
Figure 37  Regional Layout of Rapeseed Processing Areas
Figure 38  Regional Layout of Rapeseed Purchase Quantity in China (Top 100)
Figure 39  Trend of Rapeseed Oil & Rapeseed Meal Output in China  1993/94-2007/08
Figure 40  Comparison of Different Oilseeds Processing Profit in China
Figure 41  Comparison of Processing Profit of Rapeseed and Soybean  2002-2007
Figure 42  Changes of Output of Rapeseed Oil in China  1993/94-2006/07
Figure 43  Output of Rapeseed Oil by Provinces in China  1996/97-2007/08
Figure 44  Comparison of Vegoil Supply Structure by Varieties in China  1998 vs 2006
Figure 45  Trend of Total Vegoil Supply in China  1998-2006
Figure 46  Trend of Vegoil Supply Structure in China  1998-2006
Figure 47  Trend of Imported Vegoil Supply Structure by Varieties in China  1998-2006
Figure 48  Trend of Domestic Oilseeds Nutrition Supply Structure in China  1998-2006
Figure 49  Imports of Rapeseed in China  1992-2006
Figure 50  Proportion Changes of Imported Rapeseed from Main Original Countries  1992-2006
Figure 51  Exports of Rapeseed in China  1995-2006
Figure 52  Comparison of Imports and Exports of Rapeseed in China  1995-2006
Figure 53  Imports of Rapeseed Oil in China  1992-2006
Figure 54  Proportion Changes of Imported Rapeseed oil from Main Original Countries  1992-2006
Figure 55  Exports of Rapeseed Oil in China  1995-2006
Figure 56  Comparison of Imports and Exports of Rapeseed Oil in China  1998-2006
Figure 57  Distribution of Rapeseed Oil State Reserve in China
Figure 58  Price & Stock of Rapeseed Oil in China  1994/95-2006/07
Figure 59  Changes of Rapeseed Oil Stock in China  1993/94-2007/08
Figure 60  Trend of Spot Price of Rapeseed Oil in China  1995-2007
Figure 61  Comparison of Profitability & Cost between Different Enterprises
Figure 62  Total Output & Planting Areas of Rapeseed in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 63  Layout of Main Rapeseed Producing Countries  2006-2007
Figure 64  Proportion Changes of Main Rapeseed Producing Countries  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 65  Changes of Output of Rapeseed in Main Producing Countries  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 66  Trend of Output of Rapeseed Oil in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 67  Proportion Change of Different VegOil Output in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 68  Comparison of Different VegOil Output in the World  2006-2007
Figure 69  Output of Rapeseed Oil in Main Producing Countries in the World  1996/97-2005/06.
Figure 70  Consumption of Rapeseed Oil in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 71  Consumption of Rapeseed Oil in Main Consuming Countries in the World  1997/98-2005/06
Figure 72  Changes of Exported VegOil by Varieties  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 73  Comparison of Rapeseed Oil Export and Vegoil in the world  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 74  Exports of Rapeseed Oil by Countries in the World  1997/98-2005/06
Figure 75  Imports of Rapeseed Oil in Main Importing Countries  1996/97-2005/06
Figure 76  International Rapeseed Oil Price and its Stock in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 77  Changes of Stock of Rapeseed Oil in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 78  Changes of Output of Rapeseed and Mustard Seed in Canada  1990-2005
Figure 79  Weekly Crush of Rapeseed in Canada  2005/06-2007/08
Figure 80  Exports of Rapeseed and Mustard Seed in Canada  1990-2005
Figure 81  Stock & its Changes of Rapeseed in Canada  2004/05-2007/08
Figure 82  Output of Rapeseed Oil in Canada  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 83  Exports of Rapeseed Oil in Canada  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 84  Stock & its Changes of Rapeseed Oil in Canada  2004/05-2007/08
Figure 85  Output of Rapeseed in the EU  1996/97-2007/08
Figure 86  Exports of Rapeseed in the EU  1996/97-2007/08
Figure 87  Stock & its Changes of Rapeseed in the EU  2004/05-2007/08
Figure 88  Growing Trend of Output of Rapeseed Oil in the EU  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 89  Domestic Demand for Rapeseed Oil in the EU  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 90  Structure Changes of Domestic Demand for Rapeseed Oil in the EU  2002/03-2007/08
Figure 91  Exports of Rapeseed Oil in the EU  1994/95-2007/08
Figure 92  Changes of Stock of Rapeseed Oil in the EU  2002/03-2007/08
Figure 93  Changes of Output of Rapeseed and Mustard Seed in Australia  1990-2005
Figure 94  Changes of Exports of Rapeseed and Mustard Seed in Australia  1990-2005
Figure 95  Changes of Domestic Demand for Rapeseed and Mustard Seed in Australia  1990-2005
Figure 96  Changes of Stock of Rapeseed & Mustard Seed in Australia  1990-2005
Figure 97  Monthly Price Changes of Canadian Rapeseed Futures,1998-2007
Figure 98  Influential Factors on Rapeseed Oil Price
Figure 99  Comparison of Rapeseed Oil Output with Price in China  1994/95-2006/07
Figure 100  Rapeseed Oil Price both at Home and Abroad  1995/96-2006/07
Figure 101  Price & Stock of Rapeseed Oil in China  1994/95-2006/07
Figure 102  Comparison of Rapeseed Oil Price with Other Oil in China
Figure 103  Price Comparison of Rapeseed Oil with Rapeseed Meal in China
Figure 104  Trend of Spot Price of Rapeseed Oil in China  1995-2007
Appendix

Tables

Table 1  Comparison of Dietary Fat
Table 2  Comparison of canola meal nutrient composition between China Canada and Europe
Table 3  Digestibility coefficients of essential amino acids for pigs and poultry
Table 4  Changes of Biological Energy Policies in China  2000-2007
Table 5  Character Index of Rapeseed Oil in China
Table 6  Quality Index of Rapeseed Oil in China
Table 7  Quality Index of Expelling & Extracted Finished Rapeseed Oil in China
Table 8  Comparison of Per Capita Vegoil Consumption and Income Trend by Urban Residents in China
Table 9  Comparison of Total Household Vegoil Consumption and Population Growth in China
Table 10  Comparison of Catering Industry Development in the West and East Regions
Table 11  First Ten Provinces with Largest Rapeseed Acreage  1990-2006
Table 12  First Ten Provinces with Largest Rapeseed Production  1990-2006
Table13   Rotation of State Reserve of Rapeseed Oil  2003-2007
Table 14  Rapeseed Oil Supply & Demand Balance Sheet in China  2002/03-2007/08
Table 15  Profit Statement of COFCO Xiangrui Oils & Grains Industries (Jinmen) Co.  ltd
Table 16  Profit Statement of Yueyang Xinyuan Oils & Grains Industries Co.  ltd
Table 17  Profit Statement of Anhui Fengyuan Oils Co.  ltd
Table 18  Profit Statement of Zhejiang Xinshi Oils Co.  ltd
Table 19  Rapeseed Oil Supply & Demand Balance Sheet in the World  1994/95-2007/08
Table 20  Canada Rapeseed Supply and Demand Balance Sheet  2004/05-2007/08
Table 21  Canada Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance Sheet  2004/05-2007/08
Table 22  EU Rapeseed Supply and Demand Balance Sheet  2004/05-2007/08
Table 23  EU Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance Sheet  2002/03-2007/08
Table 24  Australia Rapeseed & Mustard Seed Supply and Demand Balance Sheet  1990-2005
Table 26  Instructions of Contract of Canadian Rapeseed Futures
Table 27  Instructions of Contract of Canadian Rapeseed Oil Futures
Table 28  Comparison of China Rapeseed futures with overseas Rapeseed futures
Table 29   Influence of Weather on Rapeseed Growth


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