(USD $2,500 plus 2004-2005 Annual Report on China Fertilizer Market Review & Outlook)

Report Summary

In the last year of the 10th Five-Year Plan Period the government is drafting the plan for the 11th five-year period.  The fertilizer industry while consuming enormous amount of energy and resources and causing heavy pollution produces a farm material crucial to grain production.  What is the government's policy and objective for the fertilizer industry in the new plan?  What influence does the new policy have on each fertilizer field's development?

The government preferential agricultural policy robust demand for fertilizer and rising fertilizer price spurred blind investment in fertilizer industry.  What measures will the government adopt to deal with this?

The government macro-regulating policy intended to curb inflation and stabilize economy achieved some effect in easing the investment heat.  But, it resulted in a down slope grain price and a decline in farmers gains dampening farmers initiatives in grain production and fertilizer consumption.  What policy will the government adopt to change this situation in 2006?

Due to high production cost fertilizer price stayed at a high level in 2005.  Subject to the government ceiling price policy and high export tax   fertilizer price began to move down in August from early 2005 on fertilizer industry boom cycle began to move towards a recession.  In face of rising coal power and natural gas price.  What will the government do to better the fertilizer industry boom cycle in 2006?

While farmers complained about the rising fertilizer price producers appealed to the government for a withdrawal of ceiling price and giving subsidy to farmers instead.  How will the government respond to this problem in 2006?

Report Outline

Section 1    Macro-Economy & Fertilizer Industry Development

1.1       National economic planning and fertilizer industry planning
1.1.1    National economic goals in 11th five-year period (2006-2010)
1.1.2    Government fertilizer policy for 11th five-year period
1.1.3    Fertilizer industry development plan in 11th five-year period

1.2       Agricultural policy & fertilizer industry investment and development  
1.2.1    Farm production policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 
1.2.2    Agriculture tax & subsidy policy and fertilizer industry investment & development 

1.3       Resource policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 
1.3.1    Coal policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 
1.3.2    Natural gas policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 
1.3.3    Electricity policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 
1.3.4    Mineral resource policy & fertilizer industry investment and development 

1.4       Environmental protection & fertilizer industry investment & development 
1.5       Financial policy & fertilizer industry investment & development 
1.6       Investment policy & fertilizer industry investment & development 

1.7       Fertilizer industry investment & development in next 5 years 
1.7.1    Investment in nitrogen industry 
1.7.2    Investment in phosphate compound fertilizer industry 
1.7.3    Investment in potassium industry 

1.8       Fertilizer industry competitiveness 
1.8.1    Nitrogen industry competitiveness 
1.8.2    Phosphorus industry competitiveness 
1.8.3    Potassium industry competitiveness 

1.9       Fertilizer distribution system
1.9.1    Trend of fertilizer distribution system reform
1.9.2    Development of chain store mode in farm material distribution
1.9.3    Sinochem marketing network construction
1.9.4    China farm supply group marketing network construction
1.9.5    Postal system participation in farm material supply
1.9.6    Foreign investment in fertilizer distribution

Section 2    Review & Outlook of China Fertilizer Market, 2005-2006

2.1         Review of fertilizer market in 2005
2.1.1      Impact of government macro-readjustment on fertilizer market
2.1.1.1  Impact of financial policy change on investment in fertilizer industry
2.1.1.2  Effect of government regulating policy on fertilizer market
2.1.2     Influence of international fertilizer market on Chinese market

2.1.3     Impact of changes in related industries on fertilizer industry
2.1.3.1  Impact of power price policy on fertilizer production
2.1.3.2  Impact of natural gas supply on fertilizer production
2.1.3.3  Impact of power supply on fertilizer production
2.1.3.4  Impact of mineral supply on fertilizer production
2.1.3.5  Impact of transportation capacity on fertilizer market

2.1.4      Analysis of fertilizer industry prosperity index in 2005
2.1.5      Fertilizer market in 2005
2.1.6      Fertilizer input & returns from farm production
2.1.7      Fertilizer production in 2005
2.1.8      Fertilizer imports & exports in 2005
2.1.9      Fertilizer consumption in 2005
2.1.10   Fertilizer market price in 2005

2.2        Outlook of fertilizer market in 2006
2.2.1     Prediction of fertilizer market trend in 2006
2.2.2     Possible fertilizer policy in 2006
2.2.3     Fertilizer import quota distribution for year 2006
2.2.4     Authorized fertilizer importers in 2006
2.2.5     Possible change in fertilizer export tax rate
2.2.6     Estimates of fertilizer production in 2006
2.2.7     Estimates of fertilizer imports & exports in 2006
2.2.8     Estimates of fertilizer consumption in 2006

Section 3    Review & Outlook of Nitrogen Market, 2005-2006

3.1        Review of nitrogen market in 2005
3.1.1     Analysis of nitrogen industry prosperity index in 2005
3.1.2     Production cost & yields in nitrogen industry in 2005
3.1.3     Analysis of nitrogen market in 2005
3.1.4     Nitrogen production in 2005
3.1.5     Nitrogen imports & exports in 2005
3.1.6     Nitrogen consumption in 2005

3.1.7     Review of urea market in 2005
3.1.7.1  Analysis of urea market in 2005
3.1.7.2  Urea production in 2005
3.1.7.3  Urea consumption in 2005
3.1.7.4  Urea price trend

3.1.8      ABC market in 2005
3.1.8.1   ABC production in 2005
3.1.8.2   ABC consumption in 2005
3.1.8.3   ABC price trend in 2005

3.2        Outlook of nitrogen market in 2006
3.2.1     Prediction of nitrogen market trend in 2006
3.2.2     Urea market trend in 2006
3.2.3     Estimates of nitrogen production in 2006
3.2.4     Estimates of nitrogen imports & exports in 2006
3.2.5     Estimates of nitrogen consumption in 2006

Section 4    Review & Outlook of Phosphorus Market, 2005-2006

4.1          Review of phosphorus market in 2005
4.1.1       Analysis of phosphorus industry prosperity index in 2005
4.1.2       Cost & yields in phosphorus industry in 2005
4.1.3       Analysis of phosphorus market in 2005
4.1.4       Phosphorus production in 2005
4.1.5       Phosphorus imports & exports in 2005
4.1.6       Phosphorus consumption in 2005
4.1.7       Phosphorus price in 2005

4.2          Outlook of phosphorus market in 2006
4.2.1       Prediction of phosphorus market trend in 2006
4.2.2       Estimates of phosphorus production in 2006
4.2.3       Estimates of phosphorus exports
4.2.4       Estimates of phosphorus consumption

Section 5    Review & Outlook of Potassium Market, 2005-2006

5.1          Review of potassium market in 2005
5.1.1       Analysis of potassium industry prosperity index in 2005
5.1.2       Cost & yields in potassium industry
5.1.3       Qinghai salt lake potassium group production
5.1.4       Progress in Xinjiang lop nor potassium project
5.1.5       Progress in Chinese overseas potassium projects
5.1.6       Potassium market in 2005
5.1.7       Potassium production in 2005
5.1.8       Potassium imports & exports in 2005
5.1.9       Potassium consumption in 2005
5.1.10     Potassium price in 2005

5.2          Outlook of potassium market in 2006
5.2.1       Prediction of potassium market trend in 2006
5.2.2       Estimates of potassium production in 2006
5.2.3       Estimates of potassium exports in 2006
5.2.4       Potassium consumption in 2006

Section 6    Review & Outlook of Compound Fertilizer Market, 2005-2006

6.1          Review of compound fertilizer market in 2005
6.1.1      Analysis of prosperity index in compound fertilizer industry in 2005
6.1.2      Cost & yields in compound fertilizer industry in 2005
6.1.3      Analysis of compound fertilizer in 2005
6.1.4      Compound fertilizer production in 2005
6.1.5      Compound fertilizer imports & exports in 2005
6.1.6      Compound fertilizer consumption in 2005
6.1.7      NPK and DAP price trend in 2005

6.2         Outlook of compound fertilizer market in 2006
6.2.1      Prediction of compound fertilizer market trend in 2006
6.2.2      Estimates of compound fertilizer production in 2006

6.2.3      Estimates of compound fertilizer imports & exports in 2006
6.2.3.1   Estimates of DAP imports & exports in 2006
6.2.3.2   Estimates of NPK exports in 2006
 
6.2.4      Estimates of compound fertilizer consumption

Section 7    Review & Outlook of Fertilizer-Related Industries, 2005-2006

7.1         Review & outlook of synthetic ammonium market in 2005-2006
7.1.1      Prospect of synthetic ammonium imports
7.1.2      Synthetic ammonium production in 2005
7.1.3      Synthetic ammonium imports & exports in 2005
7.1.4      Synthetic ammonium price trend in 2005
7.1.5      Estimates of synthetic ammonium production in 2006
7.1.6      Estimates of synthetic ammonium imports & exports

7.2         Review & outlook of phosphorite market in 2005-2006
7.2.1      Prospect of phosphorite imports
7.2.2      Phosphorite production in 2005
7.2.3      Phosphorite imports & exports
7.2.4      Phosphorite price trend in 2005
7.2.5      Estimates of phosphorite production in 2006
7.2.6      Phosphorite imports & exports in 2006

7.3         Review & outlook of sulfuric acid market in 2005-2006
7.3.1      Sulfuric acid production plan in 11th five-year period
7.3.2      Sulfuric acid production in 2005
7.3.3      Sulfur production in 2005
7.3.4      Sulfuric iron production in 2005
7.3.5      Sulfur imports in 2005
7.3.6      Sulfuric acid imports
7.3.7      Sulfuric iron & sulfur price trend in 2005
7.3.8      Estimates of sulfuric acid production in 2006
7.3.9      Estimates of sulfur production in 2006
7.3.10    Estimates of sulfuric iron production in 2005
7.3.11    Estimates of sulfur imports in 2006
7.3.12    Estimates of sulfuric acid imports in 2006
 
7.4         Review & outlook of phosphoric acid market in 2005-2006
7.4.1      Phosphoric acid production in 2005
7.4.2      Phosphoric acid imports in 2005
7.4.3      Estimates of phosphoric acid production in 2006
7.4.4      Estimates of phosphoric acid imports in 2006
 
Tables

Chemical Fertilizer

Table 1     Chemical fertilizer balance sheet 1997-2006
Table 2     Import by major chemical fertilizer products 1997-2005
Table 3     Exports by major chemical fertilizer products 1997-2005
Table 4     Chemical fertilizer production 1997-2005
Table 5     Chemical fertilizer consumption 1997-2005

N-Fertilizer

Table 6     N-fertilizer balance sheet 1997-2006
Table 7     Balance sheet of urea in China 1997-2006
Table 8     N-fertilizer production by variety 1997-200
Table 9     N-fertilizer production 1997-2005
Table 10   N-fertilizer consumption 1997-2005
Table 11   China urea imports by country original 1997-2005
Table 12   China urea exports by destination country 2001-2005
Table 13   Urea imports by customs 2001-2005
Table 14   China urea exports by customs 2001-2005
Table 15   China urea imports by provinces 2002-2005
Table 16   China urea exports by provinces 2002-2005

P-Fertilizer

Table 17   P-fertilizers balance sheet 1997-2006
Table 18   P-fertilizer production by variety 1997-2005
Table 19   P-fertilizer production 1997-2005
Table 20   P-fertilizer consumption 1997-2005

K-Fertilizer

Table 21   K-fertilizers balance sheet 1997-2006
Table 22   K-fertilizer production by variety 1997-2005
Table 23   K-fertilizer production 1997-2005
Table 24   K-fertilizer consumption 1997-2005
Table 25   China potassium chloride imports by country original 1997-2005
Table 26   China potassium chloride exports by destination country 2001-2005
Table 27   Potassium chloride imports by customs 2001-2005
Table 28   China potassium chloride exports by customs 2001-2005
Table 29   Potassium chloride imports by provinces 2002-2005
Table 30   China potassium sulphate imports by country original 1997-2005
Table 31   China potassium sulphate exports by destination country 2001-2005
Table 32   Potassium sulphate imports by customs 2001-200
Table 33   China potassium sulphate exports by customs 2001-2005
Table 34   Potassium sulphate imports by provinces 2002-2005

Compound Fertilizer

Table 35   Balance sheet of compound fertilizer in China 1997-2006
Table 36   Balance sheet of dap in China 1997-2006
Table 37   Compound fertilizer production 1997-2005
Table 38   Compound fertilizer consumption 1997-2005
Table 39   China NPK imports by country original 1997-2005
Table 40   China NPK exports by destination country 2001-2005
Table 41   NPK imports by customs 2001-2005
Table 42   China NPK exports by customs 2001-2005
Table 43   NPK imports by provinces 2002-2005
Table 44   China dap imports by country original 1997-2005
Table 45   China dap exports by country destination 2001-2005
Table 46   Dap imports by customs 2001-2005
Table 47   China dap exports by customs 2001-2005
Table 48   Dap imports by province 2002-2005

Chemical Fertilizer Related Products

Table 49   China import by major chemical fertilizer related products 1997-2005
Table 50   China production by major chemical fertilizer related products 1997-2005
Table 51   China sulfur import by country original 2001-2005
Table 52   China sulfur import by customs 2001-2005
Table 53   China exports by major chemical fertilizer related products 1997-2005
Table 54   China phosphorite exports by destination country 2001-2005
Table 55   China phosphorite exports by customs 2001-2005

Appendix

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