2007-2008 China Natural Rubber Market Overview & Outlook
2008-2-20 12:25

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Feb. 2008

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China Natural Rubber Market

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  • Executive Summary
  • Table of Contents

Research Background


In recent years, with the increasing demand for cars in China, the tire industry has witnessed its rapid growth, which leads to expanded demand for natural rubber in China.  To date, China has surpassed Japan and US to become the largest rubber consuming country in the world.

In 2005, Typhoon Damrey played havoc with part of the rubber forests in Yunnan and Hainan.  The yield in 2005 was only 510,000 tons, down by 10.6% from 2004.  In 2007, with the recovery of rubber forests and the improvement of tapping technologies, it is expected that the output of natural rubber should recover to the level of 2004 or even better.

The growth of natural rubber output in China is coupled with rapid growing natural rubber consumption in the country.  Then, does the increase in output meet the consumption demands in China?  How will the surging demands for natural rubber in China affect the supply-demand relation in the China market.  How will the import of natural rubber evolve?  How much influence will the development of synthetic rubber have on the natural rubber market?  What will be the trend for the natural rubber market in China in 2008?  All these are questions to be answered systematically.

Hopefully, we shall make some correct judgments for the future natural rubber market in this report through in-depth analysis and studies of the natural rubber market in China in 2007.


Table of Contents

Part 1    Production & Trade of Natural Rubber in China

Section 1    Production of Natural Rubber in China in 2007 & Prediction for 2008
1.1    Weather Conditions in Main Producting Regions of Natural Rubber in China, 2007
1.2    Analysis of Natural Rubber Production of Main Producing Regions in China
    1.2.1  Changes of Natural Rubber Growing Area in Main Producing Regions
    1.2.2  Changes of Natural Rubber Yield in Main Producing Regions
    1.2.3  Changes of Natural Rubber Output in Main Producing Regions
1.3    Prediction of Natural Rubber Production in China, 2008

Section 2    China's Natural Rubber Trade & Prediction, 2008
2.1    Natural Rubber Export Characteristics
2.2    Natural Rubber Import Characteristics
    2.2.1  Main Natural Rubber Importers - Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia
    2.2.2  Import Price of Natural Rubber Natural Rubber (CIF)
    2.2.3  Analysis of Main Changes of Natural Rubber Import
2.3    Prediction of China's Natural Rubber Trade, 2008

Section 3    Situation of Main World Producing Regions of Natural Rubber in 2007 & Prediction for 2008
3.1    Thailand
3.2    Malaysia
3.3    Indonesia

Part 2    Analysis of China Natural Rubber Industry & Predictions

Section 1    Retrospect of the Development of China's Natural Rubber Industry, 2007

Section 2    Retrospect and Prospect of China's Automobile Market, 2007
2.1    Retrospect of China's Automobile Market, 2007
    2.1.1  Automobile Production and Sales in China, 2007
    2.1.2  Car Production and Sales in China, 2007
    2.1.3  Commercial Vehicle Production and Sales in China, 2007
    2.1.4  Passenger Vehicle Production and Sales in China, 2007
2.2    Analysis and Prediction of China's Automobile Market, 2007
2.3    Trend and Prediction of the Development of China's Automobile Market, 2008

Section 3    Retrospect & Prediction of China's Tire Industry, 2007
3.1    Retrospect of China's Tire Production, 2007
3.2    Distribution of China's Tire Industry
3.3    Analysis of China's Tire Import and Export, 2007
3.4    Trend of the Development of China's Tire Industry, 2008

Section 4    Retrospect & Prospect of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market, 2007
4.1    Retrospect of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market, 2007
4.2    Distribution of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market
4.3    Analysis of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Import and Export, 2007
4.4    Trend of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market, 2008

Section 5    Analysis & Prediction of China's Synthetic Rubber Market, 2007
5.1    Synthetic Rubber Production and Output, 2007
5.2    Synthetic Rubber Import and Export, 2007
5.3    Synthetic Rubber Price Analysis, 2007
5.4    Replacement of Synthetic Rubber for Natural Rubber
5.5    China's Synthetic Rubber Market Prospect, 2008

Section 6    Retrospect & Prospect of other Natural Rubber Related Industries
6.1    China's Rubber Tube/Belt Market
6.2    China's Daily and Medical Rubber Product Market

6.3    China's Cycle Tire Market
6.4    China's Tire Renovation Market
6.5    China's Rubber Recycling Market

Part 3    Analysis & Prediction of China's Natural Rubber Demand & Supply Equilibrium

Section 1    China's Demand for Natural Rubber, 2007
1.1    Demand for Natural Rubber from Tire Industry
1.2    Rubber Boot/Shoe Demand for Natural Rubber
1.3    Demands for Natural Rubber from Other Natural Rubber Related Industry

Section 2    Analysis & Prediction of China's Natural Rubber Demand-Supply Equilibrium
2.1    China's Natural Rubber Demand-Supply Equilibrium Table
2.2    China's Monthly Balance Table of Natural Rubber, 2007

Section 3    Prediction of China's Demand for Natural Rubber, 2008

Part 4    Analysis & Prediction of China's Natural Rubber Market Price

Section 1    Analysis of Changes of Natural Rubber Forward Price, 2007
1.1    Analysis & Prediction of Natural Rubber Forward Price at Tokyo Future Market
1.2    Analysis & Prediction of Natural Rubber Forward Price at Shanghai Stock Exchange

Section 2    Analysis of Natural Rubber Spot Price in China, 2007
2.1    Analysis of Domestic Market Price of Main Producing Regions of Natural Rubber
2.2    Analysis of Domestic Market Price of Main Sales Regions of Natural Rubber

Section 3    Natural Rubber Spot Price of Main Producing Countries in Southeast Asia, 2007
3.1    Natural Rubber Spot Price in Thailand
3.2    Natural Rubber Spot Price in Malaysia
3.3    Natural Rubber Spot Price in Indonesia

Section 4    Comparison between Forward Price & Spot Price of Natural Rubber & Prediction of the Trends

Tables

Table 1  Output of Natural Rubber in China, 1995-2006
Table 2  China's Annual Import of Natural Rubber, 2003-2007
Table 3  China's Natural Rubber Import by Country, 2007
Table 4  China's Annual Export of Natural Rubber, 2003-2007
Table 5  Output of Natural Rubber in Thailand, 2003-2007
Table 6  Output of Natural Rubber in Malaysia, 2003-2007
Table 7  China's Automobile Output, 2003-2007
Table 8  China's Car Output, 2003-2007
Table 9  China's Commercial Vehicle Output, 2003-2007
Table 10  China's Passenger Vehicle Output, 2003-2007
Table 11  China's Type Output, 2003-2007
Table 12  China's Radial Tire Output, 2003-2007
Table 13  China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Output, 2003-2007
Table 14  China's Synthetic Rubber Import, 2003-2007
Table 15  China's Synthetic Rubber Export, 2003-2007
Table 16  China's Natural Rubber Demand-Supply Balance Table, 2003-2007
Table 17  China's Natural Rubber Monthly Demand-Supply Balance Table, 2007
Table 18  Prediction of Natural Rubber Consumption, 2008

Figures

Figure 1  Temperature Changes of China's Natural Rubber Producing Regions
Figure 2  Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Thailand
Figure 3  Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Malaysia
Figure 4  Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Indonesia
Figure 5  Natural Rubber Import Price of China
Figure 6  China Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 7  China Natural Rubber Forward Price
Figure 8  Japan Natural Rubber Forward Price
Figure 9  Synthetic Rubber Price in China
Figure 10  Thailand Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 11  Malaysia Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 12  Indonesia Natural Rubber Spot Price

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