China Non-Ferrous Industry Analysis

http://www.chinaccm.com 2007-4-8 10:12

Published:            April 2007
Pages:                   60
Price (USD):         $1,050 /single user PDF licence

Report Summary

"China Non-Ferrous Industry Analysis" report provides extensive research and objective analysis on Chinese non-ferrous Industry.  This report helps clients to analyze the opportunities critical to the success of non-ferrous industry in China in future.  Detailed data and analysis helps the potential investors navigate through the evolving market of non-ferrous in China.

China Non-ferrous Industry

This section provides the detail analysis of China non-ferrous industry, including aluminum, nickel, copper and zinc.  China being largest producer and consumer of majority of non-ferrous metal remains the growth engine for global non-ferrous industry.  Rapid demand outstrip the supply of non-ferrous industry due to which China will turn into a net importer of various non-ferrous metals.

Key Findings

-  Aluminum industry is an industry with serious overcapacity in China.  Moreover, the utilization rate of the aluminum industry is merely 75% (2005), implying a substantial amount of idle capacity.
-  The copper demand in China declined in the year 2006 largely due to high prices. China's copper demand will continue to increase despite the growth rate is likely to fall moderately in 2007, as the country will continue to proceed in the process of industrialization and
urbanization.
-  Although China's domestic production of non-ferrous metal is increasing but due to limited mineral reserves, China's import dependency for raw material is rising.
-  China's nickel demand grew by 14.2% during 1990-2005 whereas global nickel demand grew by only 3% for same period.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

-  The impact of Chinese non-ferrous industry on the global non-ferrous industry.
-  Market forces driving the industry and challenges faced by it.
-  What opportunities exist in the China non-ferrous industry?
-  Demand-supply balance for major metals in China non-ferrous industry.

Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key facts about major domestic and international players currently operating in the China non-ferrous industry, such as Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd., Jinchuan Group Ltd., Hunan Chunchang County Non-Ferrous Smelting and Concentrating Ltd., Alcan, Norilsk Nickel and BHP Billiton Ltd.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources:  Information has been sourced from various sources namely, books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Method:  The analysis methods includes the following  Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Report Outline

Section 1    Analyst View

Section 2    Research Overview

Section 3    China Factor - Impact on Global Non-ferrous Industry

Section 4    China Non-ferrous Industry (Supply-Demand Analysis, End User Segments & Import-Export)

4.1    Aluminum
4.2    Copper
4.3    Nickel
4.4    Zinc

Section 5    Industry Analysis

5.1    Growth Drivers in China
    5.1.1  Domestic Infrastructure
        5.1.1.1  Transportation - Rail & Road
        5.1.1.2  Power Generation
    5.1.2  Urbanization Impact on Construction
    5.1.3  Automotive Industry
5.2    China - Potential Non-ferrous Market Opportunities
    5.2.1  Huge Deficit in Production-Consumption Ratio
    5.2.2  Growth in Stainless Steel Industry
    5.2.3  Low Per Capita Use of Non-ferrous Metals
5.3    Challenges
    5.3.1  Shortage of Resources
    5.3.2  Strained Energy Supplies
    5.3.3  Environmental Pollution
5.4    Future Outlook

Section 6    Price Trends in Major Non-Ferrous Metals

Section 7    Key Players

7.1    Domestic Players
    7.1.1  Aluminum Corp. of China Ltd.
    7.1.2  Jinchuan Group Ltd.
    7.1.3  Hunan Chunchang County Non-Ferrous Smelting and Concentrating Ltd.
7.2    Global Players
    7.2.1  Alcan
    7.2.2  Norilsk Nickel
    7.2.3  BHP Billiton Ltd.

Figures

Figure 4-1  China - Share in Global Primary Aluminum Production (in Million Tons), 2002, 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-2  China - Share in Global Primary Aluminum Production (%), 2002 & 2006E
Figure 4-3  China - Share in Global Primary Aluminum Consumption (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-4  China - Share in Global Primary Aluminum Consumption (%), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-5  China, India & USA - Consumption Share in Aluminum Metal (%), 1990-2005
Figure 4-6  China - Aluminum Demand by End Users (%), 2004
Figure 4-7  China - Aluminum Supply & Demand Gap (in Million Tons), 2005-2007F
Figure 4-8  China - Share in Global Refined Copper Production (in Million Tons), 2000-2005
Figure 4-9  China - Share in Global Refined Copper Production (%), 1985 & 2005
Figure 4-10  China - Consumption of Copper in Context of Key Markets (in Million Tons), 1996-2005
Figure 4-11  China - Share in Global Refined Copper Consumption (%), 1985 & 2005
Figure 4-12  China, India & USA - Consumption Share in Copper Metal (%), 1990-2005
Figure 4-13  China - Copper Demand (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-14  China - Share in Global Nickel Production (in Thousand Tons), 2003-2006E
Figure 4-15  China - Share in Global Nickel Production (%), 2003 & 2006E
Figure 4-16  China - Share in Global Nickel Consumption (in Thousand Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-17  China - Share in Global Nickel Consumption (%), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-18  China, India & USA - Consumption Share in Nickel Metal (%), 1990-2005
Figure 4-19  China - Nickel Supply & Demand Gap (in Thousand Tons) 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-20  China - Share in Global Zinc Production (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-21  China - Share in Global Zinc Production (%), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-22  China - Share in Global Zinc Consumption (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-23  China - Share in Global Zinc Consumption (%), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 4-24  China, India & USA - Contribution Share in Zinc Metal (%), 1990-2005
Figure 4-25  China - Zinc Supply & Demand Gap (in Million Tons), 2005 & 2006E
Figure 5-1  China - GDP Growth (%), 1990-2006E
Figure 5-2  China - Length of Railway Track (in Km), 2000-2004
Figure 5-3  China - Share of Urban Population (%), 1990-2005
Figure 5-4  China - Automobile Sales & Production by Volume (in Million Units), 2004 & 2005
Figure 5-5  China - Alumina Supply & Demand Gap (in Million Tons), 2005-2007F
Figure 5-6  China - Forecast for Stainless Steel Production (in Million Tons), 2007-2010
Figure 5-7  China - Forecast for Refined Nickel Production (in Thousand Tons), 2007-2010
Figure 5-8  China, Japan, US & Korea - Consumption of Copper & Aluminum (in Kg/Capita), 2004
Figure 6-1  Global - Copper Prices (in US$/Ton), Sept 2006 to Nov 2006
Figure 6-2  Global - Aluminum Prices (in US$/Ton), Sept 2006 to Nov 2006
Figure 6-3  Global - Nickel Prices (in US$/Ton), Sept 2006 to Nov 2006
Figure 7-1  Chalco - Stock Performance
Figure 7-2  Alcan - Stock Performance
Figure 7-3  Norilsk Nickel - Stock Performance
Figure 7-4  BHP Billiton Ltd. - Stock Performance

Tables

Table 3-1  China - Global Ranking & Consumption of Selected Metals, 2005
Table 3-2  China, India, USA - Consumption Share of Selected Metals (%), 1990-2005
Table 4-1  China - Aluminum & Alumina Exports (in Tons), 2006
Table 4-2  China - Aluminum & Alumina Imports (in Tons), 2006
Table 4-3  Global - Copper Mine Production (in Thousand Tons), 2000-2005
Table 4-4  China - Copper Demand & Supply Gap (in Thousand Tons), 2000-2005
Table 4-5  China - Copper Imports (in Tons), 2006
Table 4-6  China - Copper Exports (in Tons), 2006
Table 4-7  China - Zinc Import Comparison with Other Countries, Jan-April 2006
Table 5-1  China - Production/Consumption Ratios & Consumption Growth (%), 2005
Table 5-2  China - New Copper Smelting Capacity Scheduled to Come On-Stream (in Thousand Tons), 2007
Table 7-1  Chalco - Financial Overview (in Million US$) 2003-2005
Table 7-2  Alcan - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2006
Table 7-3  Norilsk Nickel - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2002-2005
Table 7-4  BHP Billiton Ltd. - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2005 & 2006