<div style="font-size:14px; line-height:150%" ><h2 class="newsinfo_title">中大期货: 螺纹钢下跌趋势难改，维持空头思路</h2>
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						      <li>2012-7-16 16:56:29</li>    
							  <li>来源：博易大师</li>    
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									              <td width="60"><b>导读：</b></td>
												  <td>短期期钢下跌趋势难改。投资者关注3900一线的压力，维持空头思路。</td>
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									              <td width="60"><b>关键字：</b></td>
												  <td>螺纹钢 下跌 空头</td>
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<div class="over_x">					 <p>宏观分析：二季度经济下行</p>
<p>统计局13日发布二季度经济数据，初步测算，上半年国内生产总值227098亿元，按可比价格计算，同比增长7.8%。其中，一季度增长8.1%，二季度增长7.6%。三年来首破8%。<br />
今日股市大盘大幅下跌，创出半年新低。</p>
<p>7月美国密歇根消费者信心指数的初值为72.0，低于6月73.2的终值，也不及接受汤森路透集团调查经济学家平均预期的小幅增至73.4。72.0创下了2011年12月以来最低纪录。<br />
美国劳工部宣布，6月经季调的PPI环比增长0.1%。据汤森路透集团调查，经济学家平均预期6月PPI将下降0.5%。PPI增长主要源自家电、轻型卡车和宠物食品等消费者产品的价格上涨。</p>
<p>&nbsp;现货分析：季末资金压力，现货走低<br />
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 国内现货市场继续走低，销售低迷。贸易商心态发生变化，跌价出货明显，价格走低。上周社会库存有小幅增加的迹象，钢厂在巨大库存压力情况下，降价放货。宝钢、沙钢等华东钢厂大幅下调出厂价。钢坯价格混乱走低</p>
<p>&nbsp;技术分析：</p>
<p>期钢1301沿着5日均线下行，增仓放量下行，持仓增加近15万手，不断刷新低点。MACD开口扩大，绿柱拉长。下行态势完好。前20位持仓排名来看，多空都大幅增仓，市场仍是空头格局。</p>
<p>&nbsp;预测与建议</p>
<p>短期期钢下跌趋势难改。投资者关注3900一线的压力，维持空头思路。</p>
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